MLB Home Run Predictions — June 18, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-18: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 18, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
16
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
46.2 vs 46.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Colson Montgomery | Ryan Weathers | 82 | A Excellent |
| #6 | Shea Langeliers | LAA Bullpen Proxy | 78 | B AboveAvg |
| #10 | Tyler Soderstrom | LAA Bullpen Proxy | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #12 | Juan Soto | Aaron Nola | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #43 | Jac Caglianone | Matthew Liberatore | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #50 | Brooks Lee | Jack Leiter | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Ryan McMahon | Bryan Hudson | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #74 | Kyle Manzardo | Shane Drohan | 43 | D Below |
| #81 | Trevor Larnach | Jack Leiter | 41 | D Below |
| #82 | Travis Bazzana | Shane Drohan | 40 | D Below |
| #88 | David Fry | Shane Drohan | 39 | D Below |
| #109 | Wyatt Langford | Joe Ryan | 34 | D Below |
| #116 | Caleb Durbin | Trey Yesavage | 32 | D Below |
| #119 | Ezequiel Duran | Joe Ryan | 31 | D Below |
| #134 | Nathan Lukes | Sonny Gray | 12 | D Below |
| #135 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | Trey Yesavage | 12 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ryan McMahon, Kyle Manzardo, Trevor Larnach, Travis Bazzana, David Fry, Wyatt Langford, Caleb Durbin, Ezequiel Duran, Nathan Lukes, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.