2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Matt Vierling
Matt Vierling
DET RHB
Matt Vierling

Matt Vierling

RHB
DET · 36 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
9.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.145
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#51
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 8 games · 3 HRs in 36 games
Due (1×)
1.9×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
15
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
8
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
36
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
0
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#142.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
36 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-09 #196 Taj Bradley R/R * 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 #216 Bryce Miller R/R * 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 #137 Nick Martinez R/R * 8.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 #109 Steven Matz R/L * 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 #165 Sean Burke R/R * 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 #124 Anthony Kay R/L * 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #76 Erick Fedde R/R * 15.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-28 #51 Grayson Rodriguez R/R * 10.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #186 Jack Kochanowicz R/R * 11.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-24 #105 Trevor Rogers R/L * 15.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-24 #80 Brandon Young R/L * 18.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #96 Chris Bassitt R/R * 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-21 #72 Joey Cantillo R/L * 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-20 #196 Tanner Bibee R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 #170 Parker Messick R/L * 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-18 #188 Slade Cecconi R/R * 10.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-05-17 #212 Kevin Gausman R/R * 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 #189 Mason Fluharty R/L * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-15 #195 Trey Yesavage R/R * 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 #81 Christian Scott R/R * 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-12 #127 Freddy Peralta R/R * 4.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-10 #60 Noah Cameron R/L * 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #79 Michael Wacha R/R * 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #72 Kris Bubic R/L * 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #200 Sonny Gray R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #213 Jovani Morán R/L * 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-05-04 #178 Payton Tolle R/L * 5.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #194 Jack Leiter R/R * 6.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-02 #224 Kumar Rocker R/R * 6.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-01 #208 MacKenzie Gore R/L * 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-30 #148 Bryce Elder R/R * 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 #82 Martín Pérez R/L * 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 #106 Rhett Lowder R/R * 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 #135 Brady Singer R/R 13.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 #127 Andrew Abbott R/L 12.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 #141 Kris Bubic R/L 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·

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