2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TB · LHB
Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda

LHB
TB · 125 appearances tracked
15 HRs
12.0% HR Rate
17.3% Avg HR/FB
90.9 Avg EV
0.182 ISO
#8 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-30
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
37
0.139
Avg EV
82
91.1
Barrel%
60
9.0%
HR/FB vs LHP
23
8.3%
Avg HR Dist
21
386
Match%
26
8.7%
Season HR%
11.9%
14D Pace
16.7%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
37
82
60
23
21
26
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 34 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 61.8%
10.0%
6
23.3%
Breaking 23.3%
13.0%
9
29.0%
Offspeed 14.9%
4.4%
1
13.1%
All 100% 9.6% 16 23.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Robbie Ray · LHP · TB
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-3 across 3 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Tropicana +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Even Weather Neutral
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 9.0 vs
9.0
HR/FB 8.3 vs 6.7 ▲ edge
8.3
6.7
K% 23.1 vs
23.1
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 15 this season · avg 384 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 27 Parker Messick · Progressive Field 103.6 373.0
May 25 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 105.6 371.0
May 31 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 109.2 409
HR by month
1
2
Apr May
All Appearances 125 tracked · 15 HR · 28 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 29 vs SD · Walker Buehler 4 110.0 HR 4 BIP
Aug 28 vs SD · Casey Mize 3 105.7 3 BIP
Aug 26 @ DET · Troy Melton 3 101.1 3 BIP
Aug 25 @ DET · Jackson Jobe 2 95.4 2 BIP
Aug 24 @ DET · Framber Valdez 4 99.1 HR 4 BIP
Aug 23 @ BAL · Shane Baz 3 95.3 3 BIP
Aug 22 @ BAL · Brandon Young 2 92.1 2 BIP
Aug 20 vs TOR · Shane Bieber 2 101.2 2 BIP
Aug 19 vs TOR · Max Scherzer 3 88.5 3 BIP
Aug 18 vs TOR · José Soriano 3 109.7 3 BIP
Aug 17 vs BAL · Brandon Young 4 99.4 4 BIP
Aug 16 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 1 99.2 1 BIP
Aug 15 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 5 99.3 5 BIP
Aug 14 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 4 110.9 4 BIP
Aug 12 @ ATH · Jack Perkins 2 98.3 2 BIP
Aug 11 @ ATH · Mason Barnett 4 100.6 4 BIP
Aug 10 @ ATH · Jacob Lopez 3 106.4 3 BIP
Aug 9 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 4 96.0 4 BIP
Aug 8 @ SEA · George Kirby 3 88.8 3 BIP
Aug 7 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 3 107.0 HR 3 BIP
Aug 5 @ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 3 95.8 3 BIP
Aug 4 @ COL · Gabriel Hughes 4 98.0 4 BIP
Aug 3 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 5 103.9 5 BIP
Aug 2 vs CWS · Anthony Kay 4 99.4 4 BIP
Jul 31 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 4 105.9 4 BIP
Jul 30 vs TEX · Cole Winn 3 104.5 3 BIP
Jul 29 vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore 2 101.5 2 BIP
Jul 28 vs TEX · Cal Quantrill 3 107.9 3 BIP
Jul 25 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 2 104.2 2 BIP
Jul 24 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 2 102.3 2 BIP
Jul 23 @ TOR · Shane Bieber 3 103.9 3 BIP
Jul 22 @ TOR · Braydon Fisher 1 98.8 1 BIP
Jul 21 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 4 89.1 4 BIP
Jul 20 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 4 106.7 4 BIP
Jul 19 @ BOS · Sonny Gray 2 101.7 2 BIP
Jul 17 @ BOS · Jake Bennett 4 108.2 4 BIP
Jul 12 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 3 100.5 HR 3 BIP
Jul 11 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 3 106.6 3 BIP
Jul 10 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 5 101.2 5 BIP
Jul 9 vs NYY · Paul Blackburn 4 101.9 4 BIP
Jul 8 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 102.4 3 BIP
Jul 7 vs NYY · Will Warren 3 88.0 3 BIP
Jul 6 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 1 99.3 1 BIP
Jul 5 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 4 100.1 4 BIP
Jul 4 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 1 101.7 1 BIP
Jul 3 @ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 3 94.5 3 BIP
Jul 2 @ KC · Stephen Kolek 5 103.8 5 BIP
Jul 1 @ KC · Seth Lugo 3 104.7 3 BIP
Jun 30 @ KC · Noah Cameron 3 96.4 3 BIP
Jun 28 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 3 102.5 3 BIP
Jun 27 vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 2 101.7 HR 2 BIP
Jun 26 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 3 104.0 3 BIP
Jun 25 vs KC · Seth Lugo 5 108.0 5 BIP
Jun 24 vs KC · Noah Cameron 3 101.1 3 BIP
Jun 23 vs KC · Luinder Avila 3 105.7 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs KC · Michael Wacha 2 87.9 2 BIP
Jun 21 vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez 3 97.3 3 BIP
Jun 20 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 4 105.0 4 BIP
Jun 19 vs WSH · PJ Poulin 3 95.2 HR 3 BIP
Jun 17 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 4 106.8 4 BIP
Jun 16 @ LAD · Justin Wrobleski 2 89.0 2 BIP
Jun 15 @ LAD · Eric Lauer 2 98.7 2 BIP
Jun 14 @ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 4 108.7 4 BIP
Jun 13 @ LAA · José Soriano 3 98.3 3 BIP
Jun 12 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 5 102.8 5 BIP
Jun 10 vs BOS · Jake Bennett 3 105.9 3 BIP
Jun 8 vs BOS · Connelly Early 3 97.4 3 BIP
Jun 7 @ MIA · Sandy Alcantara 2 97.6 2 BIP
Jun 6 @ MIA · Lake Bachar 1 74.9 1 BIP
Jun 5 @ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy 3 94.4 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs DET · Troy Melton 2 85.4 2 BIP
Jun 2 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 2 103.7 2 BIP
Jun 1 vs DET · Ty Madden 2 89.1 2 BIP
May 31 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 3 109.2 HR 3 BIP
May 30 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 3 107.2 3 BIP
May 29 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 2 108.2 HR 2 BIP
May 27 @ BAL · Trey Gibson 2 111.4 2 BIP
May 26 @ BAL · Shane Baz 3 106.6 3 BIP
May 25 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 4 106.0 HR 4 BIP
May 24 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 2 103.3 2 BIP
May 22 @ NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 106.5 3 BIP
May 20 vs BAL · Shane Baz 2 102.8 2 BIP
May 19 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 2 101.0 2 BIP
May 18 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 5 99.4 5 BIP
May 17 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 3 97.9 3 BIP
May 16 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 3 104.2 3 BIP
May 15 vs MIA · Janson Junk 1 101.1 1 BIP
May 13 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 2 86.2 2 BIP
May 12 @ TOR · Patrick Corbin 4 102.4 4 BIP
May 11 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 104.8 HR 3 BIP
May 10 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 2 107.5 2 BIP
May 9 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 0
May 8 @ BOS · Connelly Early 1 99.3 1 BIP
May 7 @ BOS · Jake Bennett 4 87.4 4 BIP
May 6 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 1 102.6 1 BIP
May 5 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 4 101.6 4 BIP
May 3 vs SF · Tyler Mahle 5 98.7 5 BIP
May 2 vs SF · Landen Roupp 2 105.9 2 BIP
May 1 vs SF · Robbie Ray 1 65.3 1 BIP
Apr 29 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 1 68.7 1 BIP
Apr 28 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 102.8 3 BIP
Apr 27 @ CLE · Parker Messick 3 103.6 HR 3 BIP
Apr 26 vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 3 92.2 3 BIP
Apr 25 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 3 94.6 3 BIP
Apr 24 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 3 105.8 HR 3 BIP
Apr 22 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 0
Apr 21 vs CIN · Chase Burns 2 103.8 HR 2 BIP
Apr 20 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 2 77.5 2 BIP
Apr 19 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 3 96.0 3 BIP
Apr 18 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 3 99.2 3 BIP
Apr 17 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 1 91.9 1 BIP
Apr 15 @ CWS · Sean Burke 3 96.8 3 BIP
Apr 12 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 1 85.7 1 BIP
Apr 11 vs NYY · Max Fried 4 101.7 4 BIP
Apr 10 vs NYY · Luis Gil 3 106.7 3 BIP
Apr 8 vs CHC · Colin Rea 4 92.3 4 BIP
Apr 7 vs CHC · Javier Assad 4 105.9 4 BIP
Apr 6 vs CHC · Jameson Taillon 3 103.5 HR 3 BIP
Apr 5 @ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 4 101.7 4 BIP
Apr 4 @ MIN · Mick Abel 2 102.0 2 BIP
Apr 1 @ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 3 101.7 3 BIP
Mar 31 @ MIL · Brandon Woodruff 3 102.8 HR 3 BIP
Mar 30 @ MIL · Kyle Harrison 2 86.7 2 BIP
Mar 29 @ STL · Dustin May 5 105.2 5 BIP
Mar 28 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 2 107.0 2 BIP
Ballpark Tropicana Field · open-air
Park Factor 1.081 Wind 0 mph from — Temp Roof
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p 0 · +2
2:40p 0 · +2
3:40p 0 · +2
4:40p 0 · +2
5:40p 0 · +2
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
0 mph 12% 6% 6% 38% 38% OPPO PULL Tropicana Field

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 49 → 49
ISO (Power)
+14.8
Barrel Matchup
+13.1
Park Factor
+8.9
Pitcher FIP
+4.5
season hr rate
+3.3
recent hr density 14d
+2.0
HR/FB Matchup
+1.4
Exit Velocity
+1.3
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Jonathan Aranda

Will Jonathan Aranda hit a home run today?

Jonathan Aranda is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #60 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Robbie Ray at Tropicana Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Jonathan Aranda hit home runs?

Across 125 scored games this season, Jonathan Aranda has 15 home runs — one every 8.3 games, or about 12% of his scored games.

Has Jonathan Aranda homered off Robbie Ray before?

Not yet — Jonathan Aranda has faced Robbie Ray 3 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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