2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs
Jose Cabrera

Jose Cabrera

RHP
0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 8 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
17.5%
Overall HR/FB
5.31
FIP
4.56
xFIP
#4
Leakiest SP today (of 26, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 83
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
83
no model flags today
Vulnerability 83th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
6 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
MIL @ AZ 9:45p · Chase Field Park 0.93 Wind 4.5 W slight_out Roof retractable · 79°F BP FIP 4.62 BP HR 13.8% 6L / 2R listed · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
FB 53.6% BRK 31.7% Overall Score
Neutral · 2
14 Jake Bauers L Edge
14.2% 12.5% 13.8% C+ 60
15.7% 15.1% 14.1% C 56
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
66 Garrett Mitchell L Edge
13.6% 14.6% 13.0% D 49
77 Brice Turang L Edge
9.8% 10.3% 8.9% D 47
10.4% 7.5% 8.7% D 45
137 Christian Yelich L Edge
3.4% 10.0% 6.4% D 38
168 David Hamilton L Edge
4.7% 5.6% 4.4% D 33
184 Sal Frelick L Edge
1.3% 5.7% 2.2% D 30
No single family leads his damage — the leak is spread across the arsenal. 6 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard 28.2% 77.3 26.5° 0 -3.5
Fastball Hard 25.4% 75.8 19.7° 0 -6.1
Sweeper Breaking 16.9% 81.3 42.5° 1 +5.4
Curveball Breaking 14.8% 86.6 -0.7° 0 -0.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB17.5% 83
HR/9
FIP5.31 85
xFIP4.56
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-03
Cutter
Hard · 28.2% usage
-3.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.3 mph
Avg launch angle26.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches40
Fastball
Hard · 25.4% usage
-6.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.8 mph
Avg launch angle19.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches36
Sweeper
Breaking · 16.9% usage
+5.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle42.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches24
Curveball
Breaking · 14.8% usage
-0.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.6 mph
Avg launch angle-0.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches21
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Jake Bauers L 0 never faced
Jackson Chourio R 0 never faced
Garrett Mitchell L 0 never faced
Brice Turang L 0 never faced
William Contreras R 0 never faced
Christian Yelich L 0 never faced
David Hamilton L 0 never faced
Sal Frelick L 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Jose Cabrera.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Chase Field
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 0.933 Wind 4 mph from W Temp 79°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
9:45p 4 79° -1
10:45p 4 79° -1
11:45p 4 79° -1
12:45a 4 79° -1
1:45a 4 79° -1
-1
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 4 mph from W
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

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