2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 2 Matt Olson 5 HRs · 3 Jeremy Peña 5 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Esmerlyn Valdez 4 HRs · 6 Drake Baldwin 4 HRs · 7 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 8 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 10 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Manzardo 4 HRs · 12 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs 1 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 2 Matt Olson 5 HRs · 3 Jeremy Peña 5 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Esmerlyn Valdez 4 HRs · 6 Drake Baldwin 4 HRs · 7 CJ Abrams 4 HRs · 8 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 10 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Manzardo 4 HRs · 12 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs
Ronel Blanco

Ronel Blanco

RHP
0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 8 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
31.2%
Overall HR/FB
7.75
FIP
4.42
xFIP
#1
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 98
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
98
Susceptible
Vulnerability 98th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
TEX @ HOU 7:10p · Minute Maid Park Park 1.06 Wind 5.0 W cross Roof retractable · 96°F BP FIP 4.84 BP HR 14.5% 5L / 3R listed · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
BRK 39.1% FB 31.6% OFF 29.2% Overall Score
Prime targets · 1
4 Joc Pederson L Edge
11.9% 14.2% 4.1% 11.2% B 71
Neutral · 5
12.2% 5.7% 16.7% 8.7% C+ 63
12.8% 10.1% 10.0% 11.0% C+ 63
24 Corey Seager L Edge
16.1% 15.3% 14.8% 15.4% C+ 61
43 Brandon Nimmo L Edge
17.5% 9.7% 9.3% 11.7% C 55
6.8% 8.0% 0.0% 6.5% C 54
Long shots · 2 — below the fade line
83 Evan Carter L Edge
5.1% 7.9% 0.0% 5.9% D 49
188 Alejandro Osuna L Edge
0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 0.6% D 33
No single family leads his damage — the leak is spread across the arsenal. 5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 31.6% 84.5 34.4° 2 +5.3
Changeup Offspeed 29.2% 83.0 15.7° 0 -3.1
Curveball Breaking 21.6% 77.7 10.1° 1 +1.3
Slider Breaking 17.5% 80.9 8.8° 1 -0.7
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB31.2% 98
HR/9
FIP7.75 99
xFIP4.42
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-01
Fastball
Hard · 31.6% usage
+5.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.5 mph
Avg launch angle34.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches54
Changeup
Offspeed · 29.2% usage
-3.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle15.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches50
Curveball
Breaking · 21.6% usage
+1.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.7 mph
Avg launch angle10.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches37
Slider
Breaking · 17.5% usage
-0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle8.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches30
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Joc Pederson L 4 1 1 0 .675
Wyatt Langford R 12 3 0 3 .221
Jake Burger R 6 2 0 2 .354
Corey Seager L 13 1 0 2 .121
Brandon Nimmo L 4 1 0 0 .569
Ezequiel Duran R 2 0 0 1 .000
Evan Carter L 6 1 0 0 .379
Alejandro Osuna L 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Ronel Blanco.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Minute Maid Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 1.063 Wind 5 mph from W Temp 96°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
6:10p 5 96° +4
7:10p 4 94° +4
8:10p 7 92° +5
9:10p 9 90° +7
10:10p 11 88° +9
+6
Slight green alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 7 mph from WSW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
315ft
short
CF
409ft
deep
RF
326ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
341ft
0 HRs allowed · short porch
vs RHH → LF
319ft
0 HRs allowed · short porch
Shortest: LF 314 ft
Crawford Boxes short in LF
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Ronel Blanco.
Six home runs to freedom

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