MLB Home Run Predictions — August 29, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-29: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 29, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
26
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
48.2 vs 42.0
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Andrew Abbott | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #10 | Junior Caminero | Walker Buehler | 63 | C+ Value |
| #11 | Heriberto Hernández | Cade Cavalli | 61 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Yordan Alvarez | Nolan McLean | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #21 | Sal Stewart | Kevin Gausman | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #25 | Colton Cowser | Jack Perkins | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #27 | Seiya Suzuki | Andrew Abbott | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #41 | Ty France | Nick Martinez | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #47 | Wilyer Abreu | Carlos Rodón | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #50 | Eugenio Suárez | Kevin Gausman | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #56 | Cal Raleigh | José Soriano | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #77 | Alex Bregman | Andrew Abbott | 48 | D Below |
| #78 | Brandon Lowe | Kyle Leahy | 48 | D Below |
| #81 | Rafael Flores Jr. | Kyle Leahy | 47 | D Below |
| #84 | Jackson Chourio | Cal Quantrill | 47 | D Below |
| #86 | Jonathan Aranda | Walker Buehler | 47 | D Below |
| #99 | Wilyer Abreu | Max Fried | 46 | D Below |
| #108 | Andrew Benintendi | Bailey Ober | 45 | D Below |
| #134 | Zach Neto | Cristopher Sánchez | 42 | D Below |
| #136 | Carson Kelly | Andrew Abbott | 42 | D Below |
| #143 | Angel Martínez | Daniel Lynch IV | 41 | D Below |
| #153 | Nick Sogard | Carlos Rodón | 40 | D Below |
| #180 | Brandon Nimmo | Shane Drohan | 38 | D Below |
| #213 | Nick Sogard | Max Fried | 35 | D Below |
| #220 | William Contreras | Cal Quantrill | 35 | D Below |
| #275 | Cody Freeman | Shane Drohan | 18 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Cal Raleigh, Alex Bregman, Brandon Lowe, Rafael Flores Jr., Jackson Chourio, Jonathan Aranda, Wilyer Abreu, Andrew Benintendi, Zach Neto, Carson Kelly, Angel Martínez, Nick Sogard, Brandon Nimmo, Nick Sogard, William Contreras, Cody Freeman
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.