⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEA SHB
Cal Raleigh

Cal Raleigh

SHB
SEA · 48 appearances tracked
7
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
14.6%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
86.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.229
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#2
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 3 games · 7 HRs in 48 games
Due (1×)
7.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
21
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
48
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
20
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
2
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
29%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#74.8
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
2 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-06 #31 Jacob deGrom Globe Life Field S/R 107.8 mph 418.0 ft
2026-04-11 #35 Lance McCullers Jr. T-Mobile Park S/R 106.0 mph 364.0 ft
All Appearances
48 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #87 Ryne Nelson · 12.5% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #107 Zac Gallen · 10.8% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-05-25 #57 Aaron Civale S/R * 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #85 Noah Cameron S/L * 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-19 #49 Anthony Kay S/L * 9.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-18 #73 Noah Schultz S/L * 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #104 Randy Vásquez S/R * 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-13 #21 Lance McCullers Jr. S/R * 16.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-12 #59 Tatsuya Imai S/ 13.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-11 #16 Peter Lambert S/R * 13.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #128 Davis Martin S/R * 20.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #93 Anthony Kay S/L * 21.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #182 Sean Burke S/R * 16.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #41 Martín Pérez S/L * 21.5% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-05 #47 Bryce Elder S/R * 21.4% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-04 #58 JR Ritchie S/R * 25.4% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-03 #50 Kris Bubic S/L * 17.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #62 Seth Lugo S/R * 18.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #42 Cole Ragans S/L * 20.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #194 Taj Bradley S/R * 19.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 #144 Joe Ryan S/R * 21.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 #68 Connor Prielipp S/L * 16.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-26 #122 Michael McGreevy S/R * 14.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-25 #111 Matthew Liberatore S/L 18.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-24 #113 Andre Pallante S/R 19.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-22 #61 Aaron Civale S/R 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-21 #70 Jacob Lopez S/L 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-20 #109 J.T. Ginn S/R 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-19 #199 MacKenzie Gore S/L 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 #212 Nathan Eovaldi S/R 7.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 #202 Jacob deGrom S/R 7.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-16 #114 Walker Buehler S/R 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 #96 Randy Vásquez S/R 3.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 #37 Michael King S/R 17.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-13 #9 Mike Burrows S/R 21.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 #35 Lance McCullers Jr. S/R 18.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-08 #50 MacKenzie Gore S/L 16.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 #56 Nathan Eovaldi S/R 14.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 #31 Jacob deGrom S/R 17.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-05 #2 Ryan Johnson S/R 25.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-04 #2 Jack Kochanowicz S/R 23.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-01 #26 Cam Schlittler S/R 15.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-31 #80 Max Fried S/L 13.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-30 #11 Ryan Weathers S/L 18.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-03-29 #20 Slade Cecconi S/R 18.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 #42 Joey Cantillo · 15.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-27 #3 Gavin Williams · 18.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-26 #9 Tanner Bibee · 17.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·

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