2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Rafael Devers 7 HRs · 2 Alex Bregman 5 HRs · 3 Carter Jensen 5 HRs · 4 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 7 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 8 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 11 Max Muncy 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Rafael Devers 7 HRs · 2 Alex Bregman 5 HRs · 3 Carter Jensen 5 HRs · 4 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 7 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 8 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 11 Max Muncy 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
Kade Morris

Kade Morris

RHP
0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 7 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
29.1%
Overall HR/FB
7.07
FIP
5.07
xFIP
#1
Leakiest SP today (of 32, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 97
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
97
no model flags today
Vulnerability 97th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
ATH @ SEA 10:10p · T-Mobile Park Park 1.03 Wind 5.0 N cross Roof retractable · 64°F BP FIP 4.90 BP HR 15.0% 4L / 2R listed (+1S) · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
Overall Score
Neutral · 4
27 Cal Raleigh S Edge
14.5% C+ 60
28 Dominic Canzone L Edge
12.5% C+ 60
8.0% C 57
9.3% C 50
Long shots · 3 — below the fade line
119 Cole Young L Edge
4.8% D 43
154 J.P. Crawford L Edge
5.9% D 39
179 Josh Naylor L Edge
4.5% D 37
5 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB29.1% 97
HR/9
FIP7.07 99
xFIP5.07
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-04
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Cal Raleigh S 0 never faced
Dominic Canzone L 0 never faced
Randy Arozarena R 0 never faced
Julio Rodríguez R 0 never faced
Cole Young L 0 never faced
J.P. Crawford L 0 never faced
Josh Naylor L 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Kade Morris.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — T-Mobile Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 1.033 Wind 5 mph from N Temp 64°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
7:10p 5 64° -2
8:10p 5 62° -3
9:10p 5 61° -4
10:10p 5 60° -4
11:10p 4 59° -3
-3
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 5 mph from N
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
331ft
avg
CF
401ft
avg
RF
326ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
348ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
350ft
0 HRs allowed
Shortest: RF 326 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Kade Morris.
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Kade Morris

Is Kade Morris likely to give up a home run tonight?

Kade Morris pitches tonight (ATH @ SEA at T-Mobile Park). This season he has allowed 0 home runs across 0 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.169 · build 673

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