15
HRs allowed
9.9%
HR rate (pool)
9.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.0
FIP
3.68
xFIP
-0.68
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
18
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 18th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.4 EV · 403 ft
max EV allowed 112.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Reid Detmers.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
44.8%
84.6
31.2°
7
+0.3
Slider Breaking
32.3%
82.5
8.6°
2
-2.0
Changeup Offspeed
10.7%
80.7
12.9°
3
+0.9
Curveball Breaking
10.5%
77.8
7.2°
0
-0.5
Sinker Hard
1.7%
76.0
23.5°
0
+1.7
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups151
HRs allowed (pool)15
Pool HR rate9.9%
Pool HR/game day0.83
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB9.1% 18
HR/9—
FIP3.0 14
xFIP3.68
FIP − xFIP-0.68 13
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 44.8% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle31.2°
HRs allowed7
Pitches832
Slider
Breaking · 32.3% usage
-2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches601
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.7% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle12.9°
HRs allowed3
Pitches199
Curveball
Breaking · 10.5% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.8 mph
Avg launch angle7.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches196
Sinker
Hard · 1.7% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.0 mph
Avg launch angle23.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches31
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Reid Detmers.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
15 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.4 EV · 403 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
8
3
112.6
2026-07-03
7
1
111.2
2026-06-27
7
0
107.7
2026-06-21
8
1
109.2
2026-06-16
7
0
109.7
2026-06-10
8
1
104.3
2026-05-30
9
1
107.2
2026-05-24
9
1
101.9
2026-05-19
9
1
111.7
2026-05-13
9
1
106.3
2026-05-08
9
0
108.1
2026-05-02
9
0
107.6
2026-04-26
9
3
108.4
2026-04-20
9
1
107.5
2026-04-19
9
0
105.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Reid Detmers isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.