2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Tyler O'Neill
Tyler O'Neill
BAL RHB
Tyler O'Neill

Tyler O'Neill

RHB
BAL · 24 appearances tracked
2
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
8.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.130
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#31
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
24
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
3
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
50%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#148.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-29 #32 Bailey Ober Camden Yards R/R 109.0 mph 391.0 ft
All Appearances
24 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-10 #153 George Kirby R/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 #174 Logan Gilbert R/R * 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 #214 Kevin Gausman R/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-03 #253 Payton Tolle R/L * 5.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-02 #222 Connelly Early R/L * 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-28 #55 Patrick Corbin R/L * 7.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-25 #165 Shane McClanahan R/L * 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 #215 Framber Valdez R/L * 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 #204 Steven Matz R/R * 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 #240 Richard Lovelady R/L * 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-16 #249 Cade Cavalli R/R * 4.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 💥
2026-05-13 #200 Max Fried R/L * 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #123 Connelly Early R/L * 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-11 #73 Logan Webb R/R 12.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 #91 Sean Burke R/R 11.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 #85 Shane Smith R/R 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 #207 Grant Taylor R/R 1.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 #237 Braxton Ashcraft R/R 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 #175 Carmen Mlodzinski R/R 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 #44 Nathan Eovaldi R/R 14.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 #69 Jack Leiter R/R 14.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 #32 Bailey Ober R/R 16.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-03-28 #31 Taj Bradley · 15.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-26 #58 Joe Ryan · 12.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·

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