MLB Home Run Predictions — August 24, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-24: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 24, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
13
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
0/15
Top-15 picks that homered
43.5 vs 41.8
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #25 | Jake Burger | José Urquidy | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #29 | Daylen Lile | Ryan Feltner | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #37 | Wyatt Langford | José Urquidy | 49 | D Below |
| #47 | Tristan Peters | Kumar Rocker | 47 | D Below |
| #57 | Rafael Devers | Chase Burns | 45 | D Below |
| #58 | Cal Raleigh | Zack Wheeler | 45 | D Below |
| #62 | Willi Castro | Cade Cavalli | 44 | D Below |
| #64 | Julio Rodríguez | Zack Wheeler | 44 | D Below |
| #94 | Ezequiel Tovar | Cade Cavalli | 38 | D Below |
| #96 | J. T. Realmuto | Logan Gilbert | 38 | D Below |
| #98 | Carson Kelly | Merrill Kelly | 38 | D Below |
| #99 | Jonathan Aranda | Framber Valdez | 37 | D Below |
| #102 | Cole Young | Zack Wheeler | 37 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Rafael Devers, Cal Raleigh, Willi Castro, Julio Rodríguez, Ezequiel Tovar, J. T. Realmuto, Carson Kelly, Jonathan Aranda, Cole Young
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.