7
HRs allowed
8.0%
HR rate (pool)
15.7%
Overall HR/FB
6.29
FIP
6.28
xFIP
+0.01
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
75
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 75th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
59.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.2 EV · 392 ft
max EV allowed 115.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Jose Quintana.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
29.7%
83.4
25.4°
2
+0.1
Changeup Offspeed
21.0%
80.2
10.1°
0
+1.3
Sinker Hard
19.4%
85.9
17.5°
1
+0.9
Curveball Breaking
15.7%
82.4
16.6°
0
-0.2
Slurve Breaking
14.3%
79.1
14.2°
3
+4.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups88
HRs allowed (pool)7
Pool HR rate8.0%
Pool HR/game day0.7
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB15.7% 75
HR/9—
FIP6.29 95
xFIP6.28
FIP − xFIP+0.01 49
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed59.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 29.7% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.4 mph
Avg launch angle25.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches204
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.0% usage
+1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.2 mph
Avg launch angle10.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches144
Sinker
Hard · 19.4% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle17.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches133
Curveball
Breaking · 15.7% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle16.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches108
Slurve
Breaking · 14.3% usage
+4.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.1 mph
Avg launch angle14.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches98
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Jose Quintana.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
7 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.2 EV · 392 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-24
9
0
115.8
2026-05-18
9
0
102.1
2026-05-13
9
1
102.6
2026-05-07
9
0
101.7
2026-05-01
9
2
109.7
2026-04-26
9
1
109.2
2026-04-25
9
0
—
2026-04-20
9
2
105.1
2026-04-15
8
1
111.5
2026-03-29
8
0
102.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Jose Quintana isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.