4
HRs allowed
5.8%
HR rate (pool)
21.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.99
FIP
2.65
xFIP
+0.34
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
90
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 90th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
79.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.0 EV · 410 ft
max EV allowed 112.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 2 HR ↑
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Matthew Boyd.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
47.4%
87.1
21.9°
4
+1.4
Changeup Offspeed
27.4%
79.3
17.0°
3
-0.2
Slider Breaking
15.1%
81.4
9.6°
0
-1.0
Curveball Breaking
9.6%
75.7
5.5°
1
-0.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups69
HRs allowed (pool)4
Pool HR rate5.8%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups9
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB21.3% 90
HR/9—
FIP2.99 14
xFIP2.65
FIP − xFIP+0.34 67
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed79.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 47.4% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.1 mph
Avg launch angle21.9°
HRs allowed4
Pitches405
Changeup
Offspeed · 27.4% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.3 mph
Avg launch angle17.0°
HRs allowed3
Pitches234
Slider
Breaking · 15.1% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.4 mph
Avg launch angle9.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches129
Curveball
Breaking · 9.6% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.7 mph
Avg launch angle5.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Matthew Boyd.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
4 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 410 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 8 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
9
1
111.3
2026-07-07
9
0
111.9
2026-06-30
7
1
107.1
2026-06-25
8
0
103.3
2026-05-03
9
1
107.6
2026-04-27
9
1
112.5
2026-04-22
9
0
107.2
2026-04-01
9
0
108.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Matthew Boyd isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.