MLB Home Run Predictions — August 3, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-03: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 3, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
21
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
46.3 vs 47.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Junior Caminero | Michael Lorenzen | 69 | C+ Value |
| #7 | Mickey Moniak | Ian Seymour | 67 | C+ Value |
| #16 | Bryce Harper | Andrew Alvarez | 61 | C+ Value |
| #24 | Daylen Lile | Aaron Nola | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #28 | Seiya Suzuki | Justin Wrobleski | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #48 | Derek Hill | Andrew Alvarez | 49 | D Below |
| #61 | Ryan McMahon | Michael McGreevy | 47 | D Below |
| #62 | Trent Grisham | Michael McGreevy | 47 | D Below |
| #63 | Teoscar Hernández | Matthew Boyd | 46 | D Below |
| #68 | Alec Burleson | Cam Schlittler | 45 | D Below |
| #74 | Michael Busch | Justin Wrobleski | 44 | D Below |
| #76 | Ezequiel Tovar | Ian Seymour | 44 | D Below |
| #78 | Richie Palacios | Michael Lorenzen | 43 | D Below |
| #83 | Austin Wells | Michael McGreevy | 42 | D Below |
| #89 | Tommy Edman | Matthew Boyd | 40 | D Below |
| #94 | José Caballero | Michael McGreevy | 39 | D Below |
| #96 | Ezequiel Duran | Logan Webb | 38 | D Below |
| #102 | Jimmy Crooks | Cam Schlittler | 38 | D Below |
| #106 | Nathan Church | Cam Schlittler | 36 | D Below |
| #107 | Carson Kelly | Justin Wrobleski | 36 | D Below |
| #117 | Jung Hoo Lee | Cal Quantrill | 32 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ryan McMahon, Trent Grisham, Teoscar Hernández, Alec Burleson, Michael Busch, Ezequiel Tovar, Richie Palacios, Austin Wells, Tommy Edman, José Caballero, Ezequiel Duran, Jimmy Crooks, Nathan Church, Carson Kelly, Jung Hoo Lee
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.