⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SF LHB · vs Tanner Gordon · 3:10p
Jung Hoo Lee

Jung Hoo Lee

LHB
SF · 47 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
6.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
9.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.139
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#35
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
Today's Matchup SF @ COL · 3:10p
Tanner Gordon (RHP)
HR/FB 31.6% ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. Higher = more HR-prone. League avg is ~12%. HR/9 1.67 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. Higher = pitcher gives up more longballs. FIP 4.17 ?Fielding Independent Pitching — isolates pitcher skill from defense. Higher FIP = more HR-vulnerable.
#137 ⚪ D
Coors Field Park × 1.039 ?Park factor for this stadium. Values above 1.0 boost HR probability; below 1.0 suppress it. Based on multi-year park HR data. WT 4 ?Weather modifier. Positive = wind/heat boost HRs. Negative = cold/headwind suppresses them. Based on live game-time weather data.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.131
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
32th pctile
87.9
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
30th pctile
5.8%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
18th pctile
12.0%
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball. >18% elite, league avg ~12%.
48th pctile
363
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
4th pctile
6.4%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
0.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
9.7%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
36th pctile
13
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 18 games · 3 HRs in 47 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
8
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
18
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
47
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
5
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#168.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
47 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #183 Ryan Feltner L/R * 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #178 Michael Lorenzen L/R * 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #221 Eduardo Rodriguez L/L * 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #254 Davis Martin L/R * 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-19 #237 Ryne Nelson L/R * 6.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-18 #242 Zac Gallen L/R * 6.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-16 #200 Luis Severino L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 #213 Aaron Civale L/R * 7.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-14 #142 Emmet Sheehan L/R * 11.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-13 #146 Shohei Ohtani L/R * 9.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 #141 Yoshinobu Yamamoto L/R * 11.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 #35 Roki Sasaki L/R * 11.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 #207 Bubba Chandler L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #160 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #162 Carmen Mlodzinski L/R * 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #172 Matt Waldron L/R * 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #163 Walker Buehler L/R * 8.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-04 #154 Randy Vásquez L/R * 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-03 #38 Steven Matz L/L * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #41 Griffin Jax L/R * 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #95 Shane McClanahan L/L * 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #79 Cristopher Sánchez L/L 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-29 #59 Cristopher Sánchez L/L 9.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #81 Jesús Luzardo L/L 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #256 Max Meyer L/R * 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 #265 Eury Pérez L/R 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 #249 Sandy Alcantara L/R 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-23 #155 Tyler Glasnow L/R 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-22 #253 Shohei Ohtani L/R 4.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 #229 Yoshinobu Yamamoto L/R 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 #136 PJ Poulin L/L 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 #186 Cade Cavalli L/R 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 #183 Zack Littell L/R 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-16 #46 Chase Burns L/R 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 #88 Rhett Lowder L/R 4.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-11 #177 Chris Bassitt L/R 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-10 #173 Shane Baz L/R 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-08 #203 Aaron Nola L/R 5.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #229 Cristopher Sánchez L/L 3.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #170 Andrew Painter L/R 5.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-05 #232 Kodai Senga L/R 6.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 #196 Clay Holmes L/R 6.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-02 #49 David Peterson L/L 5.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 #230 Nick Pivetta L/R 6.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 #203 Germán Márquez L/R 7.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 #197 Walker Buehler L/R 7.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-28 #223 Will Warren · 6.9% ⚪ D · — ·

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