MLB Home Run Predictions — April 10, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-10: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 10, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
29
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
45.6 vs 38.0
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Corey Seager | Tyler Glasnow | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #13 | Zach Neto | Chase Burns | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #16 | Carter Jensen | Davis Martin | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #17 | Elly De La Cruz | Jack Kochanowicz | 49 | D Below |
| #19 | Max Muncy | Kumar Rocker | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #20 | Matt Olson | Slade Cecconi | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #23 | Andy Pages | Kumar Rocker | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #31 | Jorge Soler | Chase Burns | 49 | D Below |
| #34 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | Slade Cecconi | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #45 | Daulton Varsho | Simeon Woods Richardson | 64 | C+ Value |
| #47 | Gunnar Henderson | Landen Roupp | 45 | D Below |
| #50 | Willy Adames | Shane Baz | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #58 | Kyle Manzardo | Bryce Elder | 47 | D Below |
| #67 | Wyatt Langford | Tyler Glasnow | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #69 | Max Muncy | Clay Holmes | 45 | D Below |
| #79 | Bryan Reynolds | Shota Imanaga | 42 | D Below |
| #84 | Yordan Alvarez | Emerson Hancock | 36 | D Below |
| #90 | Jake Bauers | Jake Irvin | 49 | D Below |
| #103 | Luis Campusano | Tomoyuki Sugano | 39 | D Below |
| #108 | Josh Lowe | Chase Burns | 40 | D Below |
| #123 | Michael Harris II | Slade Cecconi | 41 | D Below |
| #127 | Yandy Díaz | Luis Gil | 39 | D Below |
| #132 | Gavin Sheets | Tomoyuki Sugano | 38 | D Below |
| #141 | Brandon Marsh | Michael Soroka | 38 | D Below |
| #148 | Evan Carter | Tyler Glasnow | 38 | D Below |
| #168 | Brooks Lee | Patrick Corbin | 35 | D Below |
| #173 | Jung Hoo Lee | Shane Baz | 36 | D Below |
| #176 | Javier Báez | Chris Paddack | 30 | D Below |
| #206 | Ryan Jeffers | Patrick Corbin | 35 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Kyle Manzardo, Wyatt Langford, Max Muncy, Bryan Reynolds, Yordan Alvarez, Jake Bauers, Luis Campusano, Josh Lowe, Michael Harris II, Yandy Díaz, Gavin Sheets, Brandon Marsh, Evan Carter, Brooks Lee, Jung Hoo Lee, Javier Báez, Ryan Jeffers
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.