2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 6 HRs · 2 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 5 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 6 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Stowers 3 HRs · 12 Esmerlyn Valdez 3 HRs 1 James Wood 6 HRs · 2 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 5 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 6 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Stowers 3 HRs · 12 Esmerlyn Valdez 3 HRs
Tyler Glasnow

Tyler Glasnow

RHP LAD
45 matchups scored · 5 game days
5
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
20.0%
Overall HR/FB
2.59
FIP
2.82
xFIP
-0.23
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 88
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
88
no model flags today
Vulnerability 88th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
76.5%
76.5%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 103.0 EV · 382 ft max EV allowed 108.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-10 · 3 HR 2026-04-29 · 1 HR 2026-05-06 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Glasnow.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 30.3% 83.7 25.1° 4 +1.2
Knuckle Curve Breaking 23.0% 85.3 6.3° 1 -0.1
Sinker Hard 22.4% 85.3 20.3° 1 -3.5
Slider Breaking 16.3% 81.2 11.0° 0 -2.7
Curveball Breaking 8.0% 73.4 8.7° 0 -4.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups45
HRs allowed (pool)5
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB20.0% 88
HR/9
FIP2.59 7
xFIP2.82
FIP − xFIP-0.23 34
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed76.5%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 30.3% usage
+1.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle25.1°
HRs allowed4
Pitches208
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 23.0% usage
-0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle6.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches158
Sinker
Hard · 22.4% usage
-3.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle20.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches154
Slider
Breaking · 16.3% usage
-2.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle11.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches112
Curveball
Breaking · 8.0% usage
-4.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against73.4 mph
Avg launch angle8.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches55
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Glasnow.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
5 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.0 EV · 382 ft 5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-05-06 Brice Matthews #45 43 Minute Maid Park 104.9 23.0° 366.0
2026-04-29 Liam Hicks #24 48 Dodger Stadium 103.6 34.0° 398.0
2026-04-10 Corey Seager #6 56 Dodger Stadium 108.8 27.0° 409.0
2026-04-10 Wyatt Langford #67 50 Dodger Stadium 99.0 32.0° 365.0
2026-04-10 Evan Carter #148 38 Dodger Stadium 98.9 26.0° 373.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 5 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-06 Minute Maid Park 9 1 107.9
2026-04-29 Dodger Stadium 9 1 103.6
2026-04-23 Oracle Park 9 0 101.3
2026-04-17 Coors Field 9 0 100.7
2026-04-10 Dodger Stadium 9 3 108.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tyler Glasnow isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Tyler Glasnow's full pitcher profile is waiting

Upgrade to see the Threat Matrix, vulnerability signals, arsenal damage, BvP history, HR log, and ballpark conditions.

45 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.96 · build 601

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's picks graded in full — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board, free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.