MLB Home Run Predictions — May 14, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-14: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 14, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
22
HRs by scored batters
3/5
Top-5 picks that homered
7/15
Top-15 picks that homered
48.4 vs 35.9
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Luke Raley | Mike Burrows | 84 | A Excellent |
| #2 | Jordan Walker | Jacob Lopez | 82 | A Excellent |
| #5 | JJ Bleday | Foster Griffin | 77 | B AboveAvg |
| #6 | Yordan Alvarez | Luis Castillo | 76 | B AboveAvg |
| #7 | Kyle Schwarber | Ranger Suarez | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #9 | Ian Happ | Chris Sale | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #12 | Zack Gelof | Michael McGreevy | 65 | C+ Value |
| #24 | Nick Kurtz | Michael McGreevy | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #37 | Juan Soto | Keider Montero | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #42 | Dillon Dingler | Nolan McLean | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #52 | Mark Vientos | Keider Montero | 48 | D Below |
| #60 | Will Smith | Landen Roupp | 46 | D Below |
| #68 | Dane Myers | Foster Griffin | 43 | D Below |
| #91 | Randal Grichuk | Kris Bubic | 37 | D Below |
| #96 | Matt McLain | Foster Griffin | 35 | D Below |
| #102 | Mitch Garver | Mike Burrows | 34 | D Below |
| #121 | Ryan O'Hearn | Chase Dollander | 30 | D Below |
| #137 | Brett Baty | Keider Montero | 26 | D Below |
| #142 | Jung Hoo Lee | Emmet Sheehan | 25 | D Below |
| #145 | Victor Scott II | Jacob Lopez | 24 | D Below |
| #151 | Marcus Semien | Keider Montero | 21 | D Below |
| #189 | Gage Workman | Nolan McLean | 2 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Mark Vientos, Will Smith, Dane Myers, Randal Grichuk, Matt McLain, Mitch Garver, Ryan O'Hearn, Brett Baty, Jung Hoo Lee, Victor Scott II, Marcus Semien, Gage Workman
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.