MLB Home Run Predictions — May 13, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-13: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 13, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
23
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
34.2 vs 31.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #11 | Luke Raley | Lance McCullers Jr. | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #12 | Christian Walker | Bryce Miller | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #13 | Adley Rutschman | Max Fried | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #35 | Mickey Moniak | Mitch Keller | 45 | D Below |
| #37 | Byron Buxton | Max Meyer | 45 | D Below |
| #41 | Drake Baldwin | Shota Imanaga | 44 | D Below |
| #52 | Colson Montgomery | Seth Lugo | 41 | D Below |
| #56 | Nick Kurtz | Matthew Liberatore | 41 | D Below |
| #63 | Gavin Sheets | Jacob Misiorowski | 40 | D Below |
| #97 | Daulton Varsho | Griffin Jax | 35 | D Below |
| #99 | Jake Burger | Ryne Nelson | 35 | D Below |
| #100 | J.P. Crawford | Lance McCullers Jr. | 35 | D Below |
| #121 | Tyler Stephenson | Jake Irvin | 32 | D Below |
| #125 | Owen Caissie | Simeon Woods Richardson | 32 | D Below |
| #139 | Angel Martínez | Reid Detmers | 29 | D Below |
| #148 | Ryan O'Hearn | Jose Quintana | 28 | D Below |
| #152 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Noah Schultz | 28 | D Below |
| #165 | Mauricio Dubón | Shota Imanaga | 27 | D Below |
| #173 | Zach Neto | Parker Messick | 26 | D Below |
| #206 | TJ Rumfield | Mitch Keller | 21 | D Below |
| #235 | Ceddanne Rafaela | Andrew Painter | 15 | D Below |
| #244 | Trevor Story | Andrew Painter | 13 | D Below |
| #251 | Justin Crawford | Sonny Gray | 11 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Colson Montgomery, Nick Kurtz, Gavin Sheets, Daulton Varsho, Jake Burger, J.P. Crawford, Tyler Stephenson, Owen Caissie, Angel Martínez, Ryan O'Hearn, Bobby Witt Jr., Mauricio Dubón, Zach Neto, TJ Rumfield, Ceddanne Rafaela, Trevor Story, Justin Crawford
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.