MLB Home Run Predictions — May 12, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-12: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 12, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
22
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
37.2 vs 32.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | James Wood | Brady Singer | 64 | C+ Value |
| #8 | Shea Langeliers | Andre Pallante | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #32 | Shohei Ohtani | Adrian Houser | 46 | D Below |
| #34 | Dominic Canzone | Tatsuya Imai | 45 | D Below |
| #38 | Miguel Andujar | Brandon Sproat | 44 | D Below |
| #40 | JJ Wetherholt | Jeffrey Springs | 44 | D Below |
| #45 | Ildemaro Vargas | MacKenzie Gore | 43 | D Below |
| #49 | Brady House | Brady Singer | 42 | D Below |
| #53 | Ryan Jeffers | Eury Pérez | 42 | D Below |
| #60 | Randy Arozarena | Tatsuya Imai | 41 | D Below |
| #66 | Luis García Jr. | Brady Singer | 39 | D Below |
| #93 | Daylen Lile | Brady Singer | 35 | D Below |
| #103 | Angel Martínez | Walbert Ureña | 34 | D Below |
| #107 | Dillon Dingler | Freddy Peralta | 34 | D Below |
| #119 | Austin Riley | Colin Rea | 33 | D Below |
| #120 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Erick Fedde | 33 | D Below |
| #129 | Salvador Perez | Erick Fedde | 32 | D Below |
| #178 | Harrison Bader | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 27 | D Below |
| #184 | Joc Pederson | Zac Gallen | 26 | D Below |
| #189 | Alex Bregman | Grant Holmes | 25 | D Below |
| #221 | Mike Yastrzemski | Colin Rea | 19 | D Below |
| #242 | Chase Meidroth | Stephen Kolek | 12 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ryan Jeffers, Randy Arozarena, Luis García Jr., Daylen Lile, Angel Martínez, Dillon Dingler, Austin Riley, Bobby Witt Jr., Salvador Perez, Harrison Bader, Joc Pederson, Alex Bregman, Mike Yastrzemski, Chase Meidroth
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.