⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOS RHB
Trevor Story

Trevor Story

RHB
BOS · 42 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
7.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
12.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.9
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.127
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#14
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 23 games · 3 HRs in 42 games
Due (1×)
0.2×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
4
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
23
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
42
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
3
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#163.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
42 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-22 #194 Connor Prielipp R/L * 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 #191 Michael Wacha R/R * 11.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 #220 Seth Lugo R/R * 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-14 #155 Jesús Luzardo R/L * 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 #244 Andrew Painter R/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-12 #246 Zack Wheeler R/R * 5.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-10 #249 Nick Martinez R/R * 7.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #259 Nick Martinez R/R * 7.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #232 Jesse Scholtens R/R * 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-07 #175 Griffin Jax R/R * 6.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #249 Jack Flaherty R/R * 7.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #259 Framber Valdez R/L * 4.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-04 #195 Tarik Skubal R/L * 3.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #235 Cody Bolton R/R * 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #254 Spencer Arrighetti R/R * 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #242 Mike Burrows R/R * 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #122 Eric Lauer R/L * 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-27 #66 Dylan Cease R/R * 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #133 Trevor Rogers R/L 10.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-24 #139 Brandon Young R/R 9.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-23 #145 Cam Schlittler R/R 5.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 #232 Max Fried R/L 5.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 #187 Luis Gil R/R 8.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 #164 Jack Flaherty R/R 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-19 #255 Framber Valdez R/L 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-18 #252 Tarik Skubal R/L 5.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-17 #236 Casey Mize R/R 6.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-15 #55 Simeon Woods Richardson R/R 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-12 #137 Andre Pallante R/R 1.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 #169 Kyle Leahy R/R 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 #121 Dustin May R/R 10.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 #143 Shane Drohan R/R 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-07 #120 Jacob Misiorowski R/R 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 #101 Brandon Woodruff R/R 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-05 #61 Walker Buehler R/R 14.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 #132 Randy Vásquez R/R 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 #59 Mike Burrows R/R 13.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 #88 Hunter Brown R/R 13.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 #46 Lance McCullers Jr. R/R 15.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 #14 Rhett Lowder R/R 18.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 #53 Brady Singer · 14.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-03-26 #36 Andrew Abbott · 14.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·

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