MLB Home Run Predictions — March 28, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-03-28: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for March 28, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
20
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
43.5 vs 37.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | Corey Seager | Aaron Nola | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #13 | Elly De La Cruz | Sonny Gray | 48 | D Below |
| #23 | Will Smith | Eduardo Rodriguez | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #26 | Jake Burger | Aaron Nola | 47 | D Below |
| #28 | Shea Langeliers | Dylan Cease | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #37 | James Wood | Cade Horton | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Trevor Story | Brady Singer | 46 | D Below |
| #54 | Wilyer Abreu | Brady Singer | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #68 | Ian Happ | Miles Mikolas | 45 | D Below |
| #78 | Miguel Amaya | Miles Mikolas | 46 | D Below |
| #92 | Royce Lewis | Kyle Bradish | 43 | D Below |
| #108 | Alejandro Kirk | Jeffrey Springs | 40 | D Below |
| #128 | Luis Robert Jr. | Mitch Keller | 34 | D Below |
| #150 | Aaron Judge | Tyler Mahle | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #155 | Liam Hicks | Michael Lorenzen | 29 | D Below |
| #157 | Salvador Perez | Reynaldo López | 45 | D Below |
| #159 | Ezequiel Tovar | Eury Pérez | 40 | D Below |
| #183 | Dominic Smith | Will Warren | 26 | D Below |
| #185 | Jorge Soler | Cristian Javier | 38 | D Below |
| #232 | Nolan Schanuel | Cristian Javier | 28 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Trevor Story, Wilyer Abreu, Ian Happ, Miguel Amaya, Royce Lewis, Alejandro Kirk, Luis Robert Jr., Aaron Judge, Liam Hicks, Salvador Perez, Ezequiel Tovar, Dominic Smith, Jorge Soler, Nolan Schanuel
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.