MLB Home Run Predictions — March 29, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-03-29: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for March 29, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
19
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
0/15
Top-15 picks that homered
45.1 vs 38.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #16 | Wilyer Abreu | Rhett Lowder | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #21 | George Springer | Luis Morales | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #25 | Drake Baldwin | Seth Lugo | 47 | D Below |
| #26 | Carter Jensen | Grant Holmes | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #27 | Brandon Lowe | Nolan McLean | 46 | D Below |
| #32 | Tyler O'Neill | Bailey Ober | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #44 | Royce Lewis | Shane Baz | 44 | D Below |
| #48 | Ian Happ | Jake Irvin | 45 | D Below |
| #52 | Gary Sánchez | Anthony Kay | 47 | D Below |
| #70 | Max Muncy | Eric Lauer | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #74 | Alex Bregman | Jake Irvin | 42 | D Below |
| #90 | Jesús Sánchez | Luis Morales | 45 | D Below |
| #103 | Brandon Nimmo | Jesús Luzardo | 40 | D Below |
| #140 | Andrew McCutchen | Jesús Luzardo | 35 | D Below |
| #141 | Pedro Pagés | Steven Matz | 29 | D Below |
| #163 | Jordan Walker | Steven Matz | 26 | D Below |
| #173 | Colson Montgomery | Brandon Sproat | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #174 | Eugenio Suárez | Connelly Early | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #183 | Everson Pereira | Brandon Sproat | 30 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Gary Sánchez, Max Muncy, Alex Bregman, Jesús Sánchez, Brandon Nimmo, Andrew McCutchen, Pedro Pagés, Jordan Walker, Colson Montgomery, Eugenio Suárez, Everson Pereira
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.