MLB Home Run Predictions — March 30, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-03-30: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for March 30, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #7 | George Springer | Tomoyuki Sugano | 60 | C+ Value |
| #25 | Ian Happ | Ryan Johnson | 42 | D Below |
| #50 | Yandy Diaz | Kyle Harrison | 44 | D Below |
| #54 | Yoan Moncada | Edward Cabrera | 48 | D Below |
| #76 | Gunnar Henderson | Jack Leiter | 45 | D Below |
| #96 | William Contreras | Nick Martinez | 38 | D Below |
| #111 | Andres Gimenez | Tomoyuki Sugano | 31 | D Below |
| #129 | Isaac Collins | Nick Martinez | 37 | D Below |
| #137 | Jose Altuve | Ranger Suarez | 34 | D Below |
| #139 | Nolan Gorman | Clay Holmes | 34 | D Below |
| #157 | Matt Wallner | Kris Bubic | 48 | D Below |
| #158 | Austin Hays | Braxton Ashcraft | 43 | D Below |
| #162 | Jackson Merrill | Landen Roupp | 40 | D Below |
| #170 | Liam Hicks | Davis Martin | 30 | D Below |
| #212 | Kyle Isbel | Simeon Woods Richardson | 22 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Yoan Moncada, Gunnar Henderson, William Contreras, Andres Gimenez, Isaac Collins, Jose Altuve, Nolan Gorman, Matt Wallner, Austin Hays, Jackson Merrill, Liam Hicks, Kyle Isbel