2026

MLB Home Run Predictions — March 30, 2026

The graded receipt for 2026-03-30: what the model predicted, what actually happened.

Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for March 30, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.

15
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
39.7 vs 38.6
Avg score: HR vs miss

Catch rates by cutoff

Top 5
0/5
0.0%
Top 10
1/10
10.0%
Top 15
1/15
6.7%
Top 25
2/25
8.0%

Home runs, graded

RankBatterVs pitcherScoreTier
#7 George Springer Tomoyuki Sugano
Rogers Centre
60 C+ Value
#25 Ian Happ Ryan Johnson
Wrigley Field
42 D Below
#50 Yandy Diaz Kyle Harrison
American Family Field
44 D Below
#54 Yoan Moncada Edward Cabrera
Wrigley Field
48 D Below
#76 Gunnar Henderson Jack Leiter
Camden Yards
45 D Below
#96 William Contreras Nick Martinez
American Family Field
38 D Below
#111 Andres Gimenez Tomoyuki Sugano
Rogers Centre
31 D Below
#129 Isaac Collins Nick Martinez
American Family Field
37 D Below
#137 Jose Altuve Ranger Suarez
Minute Maid Park
34 D Below
#139 Nolan Gorman Clay Holmes
Busch Stadium
34 D Below
#157 Matt Wallner Kris Bubic
Kauffman Stadium
48 D Below
#158 Austin Hays Braxton Ashcraft
Great American Ball Park
43 D Below
#162 Jackson Merrill Landen Roupp
Petco Park
40 D Below
#170 Liam Hicks Davis Martin
loanDepot Park
30 D Below
#212 Kyle Isbel Simeon Woods Richardson
Kauffman Stadium
22 D Below

Outside the top 50

Yoan Moncada, Gunnar Henderson, William Contreras, Andres Gimenez, Isaac Collins, Jose Altuve, Nolan Gorman, Matt Wallner, Austin Hays, Jackson Merrill, Liam Hicks, Kyle Isbel

The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.
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