MLB Home Run Predictions — March 31, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-03-31: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for March 31, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
17
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
47.1 vs 37.8
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Corey Seager | Zach Eflin | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #7 | Max Muncy | Tanner Bibee | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #11 | Oneil Cruz | Brandon Williamson | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #12 | Adolis Garcia | Zach Eflin | 48 | D Below |
| #23 | Hunter Goodman | Max Scherzer | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #29 | Pete Alonso | Andre Pallante | 49 | D Below |
| #35 | Bryan Reynolds | Brandon Williamson | 45 | D Below |
| #41 | Kyle Schwarber | PJ Poulin | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #57 | Drake Baldwin | Aaron Civale | 46 | D Below |
| #59 | Jonathan Aranda | Brandon Woodruff | 45 | D Below |
| #95 | Elly De La Cruz | Bubba Chandler | 46 | D Below |
| #98 | Willy Adames | Germán Márquez | 42 | D Below |
| #105 | Matt Chapman | Germán Márquez | 40 | D Below |
| #136 | Shea Langeliers | José Suarez | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #150 | Max Muncy | José Suarez | 48 | D Below |
| #153 | Ceddanne Rafaela | Hunter Brown | 35 | D Below |
| #161 | Cam Smith | Brayan Bello | 30 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Drake Baldwin, Jonathan Aranda, Elly De La Cruz, Willy Adames, Matt Chapman, Shea Langeliers, Max Muncy, Ceddanne Rafaela, Cam Smith
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.