MLB Home Run Predictions — April 1, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-01: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 1, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
21
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
40.7 vs 38.2
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Freddie Freeman | Gavin Williams | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #7 | Bryce Harper | Cade Cavalli | 46 | D Below |
| #20 | Yandy Diaz | Jacob Misiorowski | 45 | D Below |
| #27 | Gabriel Arias | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 41 | D Below |
| #29 | Jose Ramirez | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 47 | D Below |
| #33 | Juan Soto | Matthew Liberatore | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #35 | Brice Turang | Drew Rasmussen | 39 | D Below |
| #45 | Oneil Cruz | Andrew Abbott | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #60 | Wilyer Abreu | Mike Burrows | 48 | D Below |
| #68 | Shea Langeliers | Chris Sale | 49 | D Below |
| #69 | Roman Anthony | Mike Burrows | 45 | D Below |
| #70 | J.T. Realmuto | Cade Cavalli | 33 | D Below |
| #71 | Ben Rice | George Kirby | 47 | D Below |
| #72 | Corey Seager | Trevor Rogers | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #97 | Bryan Reynolds | Andrew Abbott | 43 | D Below |
| #140 | Otto Lopez | Shane Smith | 34 | D Below |
| #189 | Liam Hicks | Shane Smith | 28 | D Below |
| #207 | Paul Goldschmidt | George Kirby | 29 | D Below |
| #219 | Jonathan India | Joe Ryan | 29 | D Below |
| #225 | Christian Vazquez | Noah Cameron | 21 | D Below |
| #228 | Kyle Isbel | Joe Ryan | 22 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Wilyer Abreu, Shea Langeliers, Roman Anthony, J.T. Realmuto, Ben Rice, Corey Seager, Bryan Reynolds, Otto Lopez, Liam Hicks, Paul Goldschmidt, Jonathan India, Christian Vazquez, Kyle Isbel
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.