2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STL LHB
Nolan Gorman

Nolan Gorman

LHB
STL · 58 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.6%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
15.0%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.143
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#32
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 12 games · 5 HRs in 58 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
5
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
12
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
58
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
6
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#119.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
58 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-11 #0.978 Christian Scott L/R * 0.0% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-09 #154 Freddy Peralta L/R * 15.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 #155 Rhett Lowder L/R * 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-05 #129 Brady Singer L/R * 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-03 #188 MacKenzie Gore L/L * 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-02 #146 Nathan Eovaldi L/R * 9.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-01 #82 Jacob deGrom L/R * 10.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-30 #193 Ben Brown L/R * 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-27 #167 Chad Patrick L/R * 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 #157 Jacob Misiorowski L/R * 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 #53 Brady Singer L/R * 12.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-23 #90 Chris Paddack L/R * 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-23 #69 Chase Petty L/R * 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-22 #53 Chris Paddack L/R * 10.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-21 #46 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 #129 Carmen Mlodzinski L/R * 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 #129 Mitch Keller L/R * 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-17 #115 Stephen Kolek L/R * 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #109 Michael Wacha L/R * 8.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-05-14 #32 Jacob Lopez L/L * 9.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-13 #39 J.T. Ginn L/R * 13.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-12 #54 Jeffrey Springs L/L * 14.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-10 #189 Walker Buehler L/R * 12.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-09 #184 Randy Vásquez L/R * 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-08 #111 Griffin Canning L/R * 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-07 #119 Michael King L/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-06 #162 Brandon Sproat L/R * 11.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 #84 Brandon Sproat L/R * 11.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 #106 Chad Patrick L/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 #79 Justin Wrobleski L/L * 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 #85 Roki Sasaki L/R * 11.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 #129 Emmet Sheehan L/R * 12.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-30 #132 Paul Skenes L/R * 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #226 Bubba Chandler L/R * 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-27 #131 Mason Montgomery L/L * 6.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-26 #232 Emerson Hancock L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-25 #226 Bryan Woo L/R 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 #188 George Kirby L/R 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 #184 Janson Junk L/R 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-21 #154 Chris Paddack L/R 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 #136 Max Meyer L/R 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 #104 Mike Burrows L/R 11.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 #140 Lance McCullers Jr. L/R 10.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 #146 Peter Lambert L/R 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-15 #64 Slade Cecconi L/R 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-13 #37 Gavin Williams L/R 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 #127 Brayan Bello L/R 1.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #77 Ranger Suarez L/L 12.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 #58 Miles Mikolas L/R 14.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #38 Cade Cavalli L/R 17.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #35 Zack Littell L/R 16.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-05 #94 Keider Montero L/ 12.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 #97 Jack Flaherty L/R 11.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 #153 Freddy Peralta L/R 10.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 #142 Kodai Senga L/R 10.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 #139 Clay Holmes L/R 10.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-03-28 #139 Joe Boyle · 10.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 #61 Drew Rasmussen · 12.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·

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