⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter PHI
80 matchups scored · 9 game days
10 HRs Allowed
12.5% HR Rate (Pool)
-0.49 FIP-xFIP Gap
80
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
12.5%
HR Rate
Today's Matchups · 9 batters PHI @ LAD · 4:10p
# Batter Tier Score Form Flags PA HR Peak EV
16 🟡 B 73 🌤️ WARM · first look
24 🟡 B 70 · Splits Edge first look
33 🔵 C+ 68 ❄ COLD · 1 0 ·
41 🔵 C+ 65 🌤️ WARM · first look
52 🔵 C+ 61 🌧️ COOL Splits Edge first look
84 🟠 C 53 🌧️ COOL · first look
140 ⚪ D 43 🌤️ WARM · first look
157 ⚪ D 41 🌧️ COOL · first look
195 ⚪ D 34 ❄ COLD · first look
🏟️ Dodger Stadium
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
9 days · 10 total HRs
HRs Allowed
10 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-05-24 Travis Bazzana #101 48 Citizens Bank Park 105.3mph 29.0° 412.0ft
2026-05-18 Sal Stewart #17 76 Citizens Bank Park 101.3mph 27.0° 361.0ft
2026-05-13 Ceddanne Rafaela #235 15 Fenway Park 102.2mph 26.0° 376.0ft
2026-05-13 Trevor Story #244 13 Fenway Park 106.6mph 28.0° 424.0ft
2026-05-07 Shea Langeliers #42 40 Citizens Bank Park 108.4mph 32.0° 412.0ft
2026-05-07 Brent Rooker #128 21 Citizens Bank Park 100.2mph 33.0° 384.0ft
2026-05-07 Jacob Wilson #155 15 Citizens Bank Park 99.5mph 25.0° 350.0ft
2026-05-02 Xavier Edwards #223 13 loanDepot Park 100.6mph 27.0° 392.0ft
2026-04-24 Ronald Acuña Jr. #87 58 Truist Park 105.8mph 30.0° 410.0ft
2026-04-19 Michael Harris II #40 65 Citizens Bank Park 101.9mph 37.0° 376.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Usage RV/100 HRs
Fastball 35.5% +1.5 3
Slider 19.5% -0.4 0
Splitter 12.8% -0.7 1
Sinker 11.6% +1.1 2
Sweeper 11.4% -0.4 1
Curveball 9.1% +0.2 0
All Scored Matchups
80 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-05-24 Steven Kwan #268 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Austin Hedges #223 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 David Fry #157 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Daniel Schneemann #120 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Travis Bazzana #101 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-24 Brayan Rocchio #81 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Rhys Hoskins #67 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 José Ramírez #60 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Chase DeLauter #48 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 TJ Friedl #131 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Ke'Bryan Hayes #121 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Matt McLain #91 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Eugenio Suárez #84 51 🟠 C · — ·
2026-05-18 Tyler Stephenson #79 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Spencer Steer #22 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Nathaniel Lowe #19 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Sal Stewart #17 76 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-18 Elly De La Cruz #16 76 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Caleb Durbin #255 8 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Trevor Story #244 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-13 Marcelo Mayer #241 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Jarren Duran #240 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Roman Anthony #239 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Ceddanne Rafaela #235 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-13 Carlos Narváez #226 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Wilyer Abreu #176 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Willson Contreras #122 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Jacob Wilson #155 15 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-07 Jeff McNeil #148 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Brent Rooker #128 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-07 Lawrence Butler #108 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Nick Kurtz #101 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Max Muncy #95 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Tyler Soderstrom #67 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-07 Carlos Cortes #47 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Shea Langeliers #42 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-02 Heriberto Hernández #242 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Xavier Edwards #223 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-02 Owen Caissie #212 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 Agustín Ramírez #181 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Jakob Marsee #180 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Connor Norby #176 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Otto Lopez #163 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Graham Pauley #130 28 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-02 Liam Hicks #113 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Mauricio Dubón #148 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-24 Mike Yastrzemski #140 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Ozzie Albies #134 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Eli White #107 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Ronald Acuña Jr. #87 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-24 Austin Riley #79 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Dominic Smith #65 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Drake Baldwin #29 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Matt Olson #10 82 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Mike Yastrzemski #142 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Ozzie Albies #116 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Mauricio Dubón #85 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Austin Riley #53 62 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-19 Ronald Acuña Jr. #43 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Dominic Smith #41 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Michael Harris II #40 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-19 Drake Baldwin #25 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Matt Olson #8 84 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Jorge Barrosa #159 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 James McCann #157 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Nolan Arenado #156 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Alek Thomas #149 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Jose Fernandez #148 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Ildemaro Vargas #147 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-12 Geraldo Perdomo #140 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-12 Tim Tawa #136 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Patrick Bailey #181 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Jung Hoo Lee #170 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Tyler Fitzgerald #142 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Heliot Ramos #120 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Casey Schmitt #103 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Dominic Smith #88 24 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 Wilmer Flores #65 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 Matt Chapman #64 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Willy Adames #63 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
LD 3.2.69

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.