19
HRs allowed
16.7%
HR rate (pool)
14.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.99
FIP
4.22
xFIP
-0.24
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
68
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 68th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.2 EV · 394 ft
max EV allowed 113.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 5 HR ↑
15D · 6 HR ↑
30D · 10 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Painter.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
33.1%
83.0
23.3°
6
+2.9
Slider Breaking
21.4%
80.4
13.1°
1
+1.0
Splitter Offspeed
14.4%
76.8
5.5°
3
+0.4
Sweeper Breaking
11.4%
75.3
18.1°
2
+0.4
Sinker Hard
10.8%
84.6
15.7°
2
+1.6
Curveball Breaking
8.9%
80.0
14.3°
0
-0.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups114
HRs allowed (pool)19
Pool HR rate16.7%
Pool HR/game day1.46
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB14.7% 68
HR/9—
FIP3.99 47
xFIP4.22
FIP − xFIP-0.24 33
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-15
Fastball
Hard · 33.1% usage
+2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle23.3°
HRs allowed6
Pitches378
Slider
Breaking · 21.4% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.4 mph
Avg launch angle13.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches244
Splitter
Offspeed · 14.4% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.8 mph
Avg launch angle5.5°
HRs allowed3
Pitches164
Sweeper
Breaking · 11.4% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.3 mph
Avg launch angle18.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches130
Sinker
Hard · 10.8% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle15.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches123
Curveball
Breaking · 8.9% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle14.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches102
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Painter.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
19 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.2 EV · 394 ft
10 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 13 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-17
9
4
110.8
2026-06-12
9
1
108.5
2026-06-06
7
1
102.4
2026-05-31
9
3
108.4
2026-05-24
9
1
105.3
2026-05-18
9
1
107.8
2026-05-13
9
2
106.6
2026-05-07
9
3
110.1
2026-05-02
9
1
102.4
2026-04-24
9
1
109.7
2026-04-19
9
1
110.1
2026-04-12
8
0
108.3
2026-04-06
9
0
113.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Andrew Painter isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.