2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 7 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 7 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs
Andrew Painter

Andrew Painter

RHP PHI
114 matchups scored · 13 game days
19
HRs allowed
16.7%
HR rate (pool)
14.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.99
FIP
4.22
xFIP
-0.24
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 68
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
68
no model flags today
Vulnerability 68th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.8%
72.8%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 103.2 EV · 394 ft max EV allowed 113.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-19 · 1 HR 2026-04-24 · 1 HR 2026-05-02 · 1 HR 2026-05-07 · 3 HR 2026-05-13 · 2 HR 2026-05-18 · 1 HR 2026-05-24 · 1 HR 2026-05-31 · 3 HR 2026-06-06 · 1 HR 2026-06-12 · 1 HR 2026-06-17 · 4 HR
7D · 5 HR ↑ 15D · 6 HR ↑ 30D · 10 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Painter.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 33.1% 83.0 23.3° 6 +2.9
Slider Breaking 21.4% 80.4 13.1° 1 +1.0
Splitter Offspeed 14.4% 76.8 5.5° 3 +0.4
Sweeper Breaking 11.4% 75.3 18.1° 2 +0.4
Sinker Hard 10.8% 84.6 15.7° 2 +1.6
Curveball Breaking 8.9% 80.0 14.3° 0 -0.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups114
HRs allowed (pool)19
Pool HR rate16.7%
Pool HR/game day1.46
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB14.7% 68
HR/9
FIP3.99 47
xFIP4.22
FIP − xFIP-0.24 33
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.8%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-15
Fastball
Hard · 33.1% usage
+2.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle23.3°
HRs allowed6
Pitches378
Slider
Breaking · 21.4% usage
+1.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.4 mph
Avg launch angle13.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches244
Splitter
Offspeed · 14.4% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.8 mph
Avg launch angle5.5°
HRs allowed3
Pitches164
Sweeper
Breaking · 11.4% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.3 mph
Avg launch angle18.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches130
Sinker
Hard · 10.8% usage
+1.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle15.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches123
Curveball
Breaking · 8.9% usage
-0.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle14.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches102
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Painter.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
19 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.2 EV · 394 ft 10 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-17 Owen Caissie #33 64 Citizens Bank Park 99.9 29.0° 406
2026-06-17 Kyle Stowers #71 54 Citizens Bank Park 107.7 25.0° 436
2026-06-17 Joe Mack #93 50 Citizens Bank Park 103.5 30.0° 401
2026-06-17 Jakob Marsee #171 35 Citizens Bank Park 102.5 34.0° 394
2026-06-12 Jake Bauers #9 75 American Family Field 106.5 19.0° 391
2026-06-06 Colson Montgomery #18 68 Citizens Bank Park 97.2 33.0° 380
2026-05-31 Max Muncy #32 68 Dodger Stadium 106.0 31.0° 431
2026-05-31 Alex Freeland #140 43 Dodger Stadium 96.7 26.0° 344
2026-05-31 Ryan Ward #193 34 Dodger Stadium 108.4 25.0° 400
2026-05-24 Travis Bazzana #101 48 Citizens Bank Park 105.3 29.0° 412.0
2026-05-18 Sal Stewart #17 76 Citizens Bank Park 101.3 27.0° 361.0
2026-05-13 Ceddanne Rafaela #235 15 Fenway Park 102.2 26.0° 376.0
2026-05-13 Trevor Story #244 13 Fenway Park 106.6 28.0° 424.0
2026-05-07 Shea Langeliers #42 40 Citizens Bank Park 108.4 32.0° 412.0
2026-05-07 Brent Rooker #128 21 Citizens Bank Park 100.2 33.0° 384.0
2026-05-07 Jacob Wilson #155 15 Citizens Bank Park 99.5 25.0° 350.0
2026-05-02 Xavier Edwards #223 13 loanDepot Park 100.6 27.0° 392.0
2026-04-24 Ronald Acuña Jr. #87 58 Truist Park 105.8 30.0° 410.0
2026-04-19 Michael Harris II #40 65 Citizens Bank Park 101.9 37.0° 376.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 13 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-17 Citizens Bank Park 9 4 110.8
2026-06-12 American Family Field 9 1 108.5
2026-06-06 Citizens Bank Park 7 1 102.4
2026-05-31 Dodger Stadium 9 3 108.4
2026-05-24 Citizens Bank Park 9 1 105.3
2026-05-18 Citizens Bank Park 9 1 107.8
2026-05-13 Fenway Park 9 2 106.6
2026-05-07 Citizens Bank Park 9 3 110.1
2026-05-02 loanDepot Park 9 1 102.4
2026-04-24 Truist Park 9 1 109.7
2026-04-19 Citizens Bank Park 9 1 110.1
2026-04-12 Citizens Bank Park 8 0 108.3
2026-04-06 Oracle Park 9 0 113.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Andrew Painter isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

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