MLB Home Run Predictions — September 8, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-09-08: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for September 8, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
27
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
49.2 vs 43.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Junior Caminero | AJ Smith-Shawver | 66 | C+ Value |
| #4 | Kazuma Okamoto | Jack Perkins | 66 | C+ Value |
| #7 | Hunter Goodman | Cam Schlittler | 64 | C+ Value |
| #13 | Pete Alonso | Tanner Bibee | 62 | C+ Value |
| #31 | Elly De La Cruz | Tarik Skubal | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #32 | Corey Seager | SEA Bullpen Proxy | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #35 | Rafael Flores Jr. | Sean Burke | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #37 | Christian Walker | Andrew Painter | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #41 | Kody Clemens | Drew Anderson | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #48 | Juan Soto | Sandy Alcantara | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #52 | Cam Smith | Andrew Painter | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #61 | Jackson Chourio | David Peterson | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #73 | Yandy Díaz | AJ Smith-Shawver | 49 | D Below |
| #84 | Kyle Teel | Bubba Chandler | 47 | D Below |
| #87 | Zach Neto | Patrick Sandoval | 47 | D Below |
| #96 | Tim Tawa | Michael Wacha | 45 | D Below |
| #101 | Adael Amador | Cam Schlittler | 44 | D Below |
| #102 | Francisco Lindor | Sandy Alcantara | 44 | D Below |
| #111 | Daulton Varsho | Andrew Painter | 44 | D Below |
| #118 | Richie Palacios | AJ Smith-Shawver | 43 | D Below |
| #132 | Liam Hicks | AJ Smith-Shawver | 42 | D Below |
| #134 | Wyatt Langford | SEA Bullpen Proxy | 45 | D Below |
| #142 | Trea Turner | Hayden Wesneski | 41 | D Below |
| #153 | Travis Bazzana | Brandon Young | 40 | D Below |
| #170 | Kevin McGonigle | Dean Kremer | 38 | D Below |
| #179 | Bryce Eldridge | Quinn Mathews | 37 | D Below |
| #212 | Brett Baty | Sandy Alcantara | 32 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Cam Smith, Jackson Chourio, Yandy Díaz, Kyle Teel, Zach Neto, Tim Tawa, Adael Amador, Francisco Lindor, Daulton Varsho, Richie Palacios, Liam Hicks, Wyatt Langford, Trea Turner, Travis Bazzana, Kevin McGonigle, Bryce Eldridge, Brett Baty
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.