25
HRs allowed
17.6%
HR rate (pool)
24.9%
Overall HR/FB
5.76
FIP
4.4
xFIP
+1.36
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
94
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Susceptible
Vulnerability 94th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.0 EV · 399 ft
max EV allowed 112.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 4 HR
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Brady Singer.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
48.3%
85.8
21.8°
10
+0.6
Slider Breaking
29.8%
84.5
12.3°
4
+0.4
Sweeper Breaking
11.9%
83.9
9.7°
4
+2.5
Cutter Hard
6.7%
82.5
13.8°
2
+3.6
Fastball Hard
3.2%
81.6
23.6°
1
+7.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups142
HRs allowed (pool)25
Pool HR rate17.6%
Pool HR/game day1.47
Top-15 matchups14
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB24.9% 94
HR/9—
FIP5.76 91
xFIP4.4
FIP − xFIP+1.36 95
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 48.3% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.8 mph
Avg launch angle21.8°
HRs allowed10
Pitches799
Slider
Breaking · 29.8% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.5 mph
Avg launch angle12.3°
HRs allowed4
Pitches493
Sweeper
Breaking · 11.9% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.9 mph
Avg launch angle9.7°
HRs allowed4
Pitches197
Cutter
Hard · 6.7% usage
+3.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle13.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches111
Fastball
Hard · 3.2% usage
+7.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle23.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches53
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Brady Singer.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
25 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 399 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
7
0
105.8
2026-07-03
9
1
107.2
2026-06-28
9
3
110.0
2026-06-22
9
0
105.8
2026-06-16
7
0
107.2
2026-06-10
5
0
106.3
2026-06-05
6
1
111.0
2026-05-30
9
3
106.6
2026-05-24
9
0
—
2026-05-17
9
5
107.9
2026-05-12
9
4
109.2
2026-05-06
9
2
106.3
2026-05-01
9
2
112.6
2026-04-25
9
1
107.7
2026-04-19
9
0
105.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Brady Singer isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.