MLB Home Run Predictions — September 24, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-09-24: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for September 24, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
22
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
50.1 vs 45.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #10 | Elly De La Cruz | Tyler Mahle | 63 | C+ Value |
| #15 | Zack Gelof | Peter Lambert | 61 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Christian Walker | Mason Barnett | 60 | C+ Value |
| #22 | Isaac Paredes | Mason Barnett | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #33 | Nolan Arenado | Tanner Gordon | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #38 | Seiya Suzuki | Tyler Phillips | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #47 | Austin Riley | Brady Singer | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Corey Seager | Zac Thornton | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #63 | George Lombard Jr. | Ian Seymour | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #66 | Gabriel Moreno | Tanner Gordon | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #71 | Austin Wells | Ian Seymour | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #80 | Julio Rodríguez | Grayson Rodriguez | 48 | D Below |
| #87 | Salvador Perez | David Sandlin | 47 | D Below |
| #90 | James McCann | Tanner Gordon | 46 | D Below |
| #95 | Josh Jung | Zac Thornton | 46 | D Below |
| #99 | Cole Carrigg | Eduardo Rodriguez | 45 | D Below |
| #103 | Kyle Karros | Eduardo Rodriguez | 45 | D Below |
| #107 | Angel Martínez | Ranger Suarez | 44 | D Below |
| #110 | Alec Burleson | Paul Skenes | 44 | D Below |
| #127 | Kyle Teel | Randy Dobnak | 43 | D Below |
| #141 | Héctor Rodríguez | Tyler Mahle | 41 | D Below |
| #174 | Jeff Mcneil | Peter Lambert | 35 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Corey Seager, George Lombard Jr., Gabriel Moreno, Austin Wells, Julio Rodríguez, Salvador Perez, James McCann, Josh Jung, Cole Carrigg, Kyle Karros, Angel Martínez, Alec Burleson, Kyle Teel, Héctor Rodríguez, Jeff Mcneil
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.