2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 6 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 3 Munetaka Murakami 5 HRs · 4 Matt Olson 5 HRs · 5 Luis Torrens 4 HRs · 6 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 8 Lawrence Butler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Trent Grisham 4 HRs · 11 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 12 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 6 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 3 Munetaka Murakami 5 HRs · 4 Matt Olson 5 HRs · 5 Luis Torrens 4 HRs · 6 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 8 Lawrence Butler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Trent Grisham 4 HRs · 11 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 12 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs

MLB Home Run Predictions — August 20, 2026

The graded receipt for 2026-08-20: what the model predicted, what actually happened.

Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 20, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.

12
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
48.2 vs 44.9
Avg score: HR vs miss

Catch rates by cutoff

Top 5
0/5
0.0%
Top 10
1/10
10.0%
Top 15
1/15
6.7%
Top 25
2/25
8.0%

Home runs, graded

RankBatterVs pitcherScoreTier
#7 Jordan Walker Brady Singer
Great American Ball Park
63 C+ Value
#23 Kazuma Okamoto Ian Seymour
Tropicana Field
56 C BelowAvg
#29 Zach Neto Peter Lambert
Minute Maid Park
54 C BelowAvg
#31 Luis García Jr. Kyle Bradish
Camden Yards
53 C BelowAvg
#44 Corey Seager Andrew Alvarez
Globe Life Field
50 C BelowAvg
#50 Matt McLain Michael McGreevy
Great American Ball Park
49 D Below
#53 Bobby Witt Jr. Gage Jump
Kauffman Stadium
49 D Below
#56 Willy Adames Gavin Williams
Progressive Field
48 D Below
#67 Spencer Jones Kyle Bradish
Camden Yards
46 D Below
#101 Garrett Mitchell George Kirby
American Family Field
40 D Below
#116 Dylan Beavers Gerrit Cole
Camden Yards
37 D Below
#133 Nathan Lukes Ian Seymour
Tropicana Field
34 D Below

Outside the top 50

Bobby Witt Jr., Willy Adames, Spencer Jones, Garrett Mitchell, Dylan Beavers, Nathan Lukes

The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
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