MLB Home Run Predictions — August 20, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-20: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 20, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #7 | Jordan Walker | Brady Singer | 63 | C+ Value |
| #23 | Kazuma Okamoto | Ian Seymour | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #29 | Zach Neto | Peter Lambert | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #31 | Luis García Jr. | Kyle Bradish | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #44 | Corey Seager | Andrew Alvarez | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #50 | Matt McLain | Michael McGreevy | 49 | D Below |
| #53 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Gage Jump | 49 | D Below |
| #56 | Willy Adames | Gavin Williams | 48 | D Below |
| #67 | Spencer Jones | Kyle Bradish | 46 | D Below |
| #101 | Garrett Mitchell | George Kirby | 40 | D Below |
| #116 | Dylan Beavers | Gerrit Cole | 37 | D Below |
| #133 | Nathan Lukes | Ian Seymour | 34 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Bobby Witt Jr., Willy Adames, Spencer Jones, Garrett Mitchell, Dylan Beavers, Nathan Lukes