MLB Home Run Predictions — July 25, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-07-25: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for July 25, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
14
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
41.9 vs 41.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #8 | CJ Abrams | Mitch Bratt | 64 | C+ Value |
| #29 | Rafael Devers | Ryan Johnson | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #46 | Gunnar Henderson | Bryce Elder | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #58 | Ozzie Albies | Brandon Young | 49 | D Below |
| #87 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Paul Skenes | 45 | D Below |
| #112 | Jasson Domínguez | Tim Mayza | 43 | D Below |
| #135 | Cooper Pratt | Ryan Feltner | 41 | D Below |
| #144 | George Springer | Sonny Gray | 40 | D Below |
| #147 | Austin Wells | Tim Mayza | 40 | D Below |
| #183 | Salvador Perez | Casey Mize | 35 | D Below |
| #184 | Hao-Yu Lee | Michael Wacha | 35 | D Below |
| #195 | Kyle Tucker | Nolan McLean | 34 | D Below |
| #226 | Jung Hoo Lee | Ryan Johnson | 29 | D Below |
| #240 | Nick Loftin | Casey Mize | 26 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ozzie Albies, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Jasson Domínguez, Cooper Pratt, George Springer, Austin Wells, Salvador Perez, Hao-Yu Lee, Kyle Tucker, Jung Hoo Lee, Nick Loftin
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.