23
HRs allowed
18.1%
HR rate (pool)
21.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.31
FIP
3.52
xFIP
+0.79
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
90
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 90th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.8 EV · 394 ft
max EV allowed 112.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 10 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Emmet Sheehan.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
42.8%
83.9
37.3°
11
+0.7
Slider Breaking
30.7%
81.0
16.7°
4
-1.1
Changeup Offspeed
16.1%
85.1
8.4°
0
+0.6
Curveball Breaking
10.3%
82.9
10.1°
0
+0.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups127
HRs allowed (pool)23
Pool HR rate18.1%
Pool HR/game day1.53
Top-15 matchups11
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB21.2% 90
HR/9—
FIP4.31 60
xFIP3.52
FIP − xFIP+0.79 84
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 42.8% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.9 mph
Avg launch angle37.3°
HRs allowed11
Pitches654
Slider
Breaking · 30.7% usage
-1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle16.7°
HRs allowed4
Pitches469
Changeup
Offspeed · 16.1% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.1 mph
Avg launch angle8.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches246
Curveball
Breaking · 10.3% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.9 mph
Avg launch angle10.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches158
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Emmet Sheehan.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
23 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.8 EV · 394 ft
10 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
8
1
104.7
2026-07-05
7
1
103.0
2026-06-28
7
1
108.4
2026-06-21
9
4
108.3
2026-06-14
8
3
111.0
2026-06-07
7
2
112.0
2026-06-01
9
3
111.9
2026-05-25
9
1
109.1
2026-05-19
9
2
108.0
2026-05-14
9
1
99.7
2026-05-08
9
0
110.9
2026-05-01
9
2
107.8
2026-04-24
9
2
108.5
2026-04-18
9
0
109.4
2026-04-11
9
0
104.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Emmet Sheehan isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.