21
HRs allowed
8.9%
HR rate (pool)
11.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.92
FIP
4.19
xFIP
-0.28
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
41
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 41th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
14.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed
68.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.1 EV · 395 ft
max EV allowed 111.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Sandy Alcantara.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
27.0%
84.1
13.4°
2
-1.8
Changeup Offspeed
20.2%
82.5
2.3°
5
+0.2
Fastball Hard
18.6%
86.3
28.0°
5
+0.8
Cutter Hard
14.7%
81.6
26.9°
2
-2.5
Sweeper Breaking
8.6%
79.2
29.2°
2
-0.2
Slider Breaking
7.1%
81.3
19.3°
1
-1.4
Curveball Breaking
3.9%
79.0
18.2°
1
+0.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups237
HRs allowed (pool)21
Pool HR rate8.9%
Pool HR/game day0.75
Top-15 matchups15
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB11.9% 41
HR/9—
FIP3.92 45
xFIP4.19
FIP − xFIP-0.28 28
Barrel% allowed14.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed68.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Sinker
Hard · 27.0% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle13.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches795
Changeup
Offspeed · 20.2% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle2.3°
HRs allowed5
Pitches595
Fastball
Hard · 18.6% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle28.0°
HRs allowed5
Pitches549
Cutter
Hard · 14.7% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle26.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches433
Sweeper
Breaking · 8.6% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.2 mph
Avg launch angle29.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches253
Slider
Breaking · 7.1% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle19.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches210
Curveball
Breaking · 3.9% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.0 mph
Avg launch angle18.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches114
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Sandy Alcantara.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
21 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.1 EV · 395 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-29
9
0
109.4
2026-08-24
9
0
109.9
2026-08-19
9
1
107.0
2026-08-14
8
0
106.5
2026-08-08
9
0
109.9
2026-08-02
7
0
109.8
2026-07-28
8
0
106.0
2026-07-22
7
3
107.1
2026-07-17
9
1
105.5
2026-07-10
9
1
108.1
2026-07-04
5
0
102.8
2026-06-29
8
1
107.5
2026-06-23
9
2
110.5
2026-06-17
8
0
105.4
2026-06-12
8
2
106.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Sandy Alcantara isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Sandy Alcantara isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
106
6
6%
9
3
33%
7
3
43%
8
2
25%
8
2
25%
18
1
6%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 15. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Sandy Alcantara
How many home runs has Sandy Alcantara allowed this season?
Sandy Alcantara has allowed 21 home runs across 28 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Sandy Alcantara?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Sandy Alcantara include Brandon Nimmo (2), Bryce Harper (2), Hunter Goodman (2) and 37 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.