MLB Home Run Predictions — September 3, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-09-03: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for September 3, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
14
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
49.3 vs 44.8
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Logan Henderson | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #8 | Heriberto Hernández | Michael Wacha | 61 | C+ Value |
| #19 | Pete Alonso | Jake Bennett | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #33 | Carter Jensen | Sandy Alcantara | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #42 | Corey Seager | Shane McClanahan | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #44 | Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Jake Bennett | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #46 | Zack Gelof | Kade Anderson | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Jose Altuve | Luis Castillo | 48 | D Below |
| #68 | Luis Robert Jr. | Jake Bennett | 45 | D Below |
| #78 | Andrew Vaughn | Kevin Gausman | 43 | D Below |
| #87 | Adley Rutschman | Brandon Young | 42 | D Below |
| #98 | Nick Sogard | Brandon Young | 41 | D Below |
| #99 | Roman Anthony | Brandon Young | 41 | D Below |
| #129 | Agustín Ramírez | Michael Wacha | 35 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jose Altuve, Luis Robert Jr., Andrew Vaughn, Adley Rutschman, Nick Sogard, Roman Anthony, Agustín Ramírez
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.