23
HRs allowed
12.6%
HR rate (pool)
17.5%
Overall HR/FB
4.1
FIP
4.06
xFIP
+0.04
FIP − xFIP gap
#10
Leakiest SP today (of 28, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
79
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 79th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
17.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
68.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.0 EV · 403 ft
max EV allowed 113.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 10 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 57.0%
BRK 38.2%
OFF 4.7%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 2
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
Read the columns: the fastball family (57.0% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak.
5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Slider Breaking
38.2%
81.2
8.4°
5
-0.5
Sinker Hard
30.0%
85.1
11.8°
5
+0.6
Cutter Hard
14.2%
84.3
13.0°
3
+0.6
Fastball Hard
12.8%
83.2
27.9°
3
-0.1
Changeup Offspeed
3.8%
90.5
8.2°
1
-0.6
Splitter Offspeed
0.9%
86.3
21.6°
1
+14.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups182
HRs allowed (pool)23
Pool HR rate12.6%
Pool HR/game day1.1
Top-15 matchups10
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB17.5% 79
HR/9—
FIP4.1 52
xFIP4.06
FIP − xFIP+0.04 49
Barrel% allowed17.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed68.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Slider
Breaking · 38.2% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle8.4°
HRs allowed5
Pitches810
Sinker
Hard · 30.0% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.1 mph
Avg launch angle11.8°
HRs allowed5
Pitches637
Cutter
Hard · 14.2% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle13.0°
HRs allowed3
Pitches302
Fastball
Hard · 12.8% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.2 mph
Avg launch angle27.9°
HRs allowed3
Pitches272
Changeup
Offspeed · 3.8% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against90.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches81
Splitter
Offspeed · 0.9% usage
+14.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle21.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches20
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
23 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 403 ft
10 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-24
9
1
107.0
2026-08-19
9
2
108.1
2026-08-14
7
2
103.4
2026-08-09
9
3
108.9
2026-08-02
9
1
108.2
2026-07-27
8
1
111.1
2026-07-21
9
0
100.0
2026-07-11
8
2
112.8
2026-07-05
9
1
111.2
2026-06-28
8
1
106.5
2026-06-16
9
2
108.8
2026-06-11
7
0
108.4
2026-06-05
9
1
110.8
2026-05-30
9
1
113.6
2026-05-25
9
2
110.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — American Family Field
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
0.898
Wind
13 mph from SW
Temp
78°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
1:10p
13
78°
+1
2:10p
12
80°
+0
3:10p
11
82°
+0
4:10p
9
83°
-1
5:10p
9
82°
-3
-1
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 11 mph from SW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
342ft
deep
CF
400ft
avg
RF
345ft
deep
vs LHH → RF ▲ leans
351ft
13 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
364ft
7 HRs allowed · deep
Shortest: LF 342 ft
HRs allowed avg 403 ft · n=23
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
124
15
12%
9
2
22%
7
2
29%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 8. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Kumar Rocker
Is Kumar Rocker likely to give up a home run tonight?
Kumar Rocker pitches tonight (TEX @ MIL at American Family Field). This season he has allowed 23 home runs across 21 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.
How many home runs has Kumar Rocker allowed this season?
Kumar Rocker has allowed 23 home runs across 21 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Kumar Rocker?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Kumar Rocker include Cal Raleigh (2), Lawrence Butler (2), Riley Greene (2) and 29 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.