MLB Home Run Predictions — July 27, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-07-27: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for July 27, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
20
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
0/15
Top-15 picks that homered
40.9 vs 42.2
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #17 | Tyler Soderstrom | Payton Tolle | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #31 | Joc Pederson | George Kirby | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #32 | Bryce Harper | Tyler Phillips | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #46 | Ceddanne Rafaela | Jack Perkins | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #55 | Griffin Conine | Zack Wheeler | 48 | D Below |
| #65 | Jake Burger | George Kirby | 46 | D Below |
| #73 | Heriberto Hernández | Zack Wheeler | 45 | D Below |
| #91 | Luis Urías | WSH Bullpen Proxy | 46 | D Below |
| #92 | Coby Mayo | Keider Montero | 42 | D Below |
| #98 | Ozzie Albies | Zac Thornton | 42 | D Below |
| #102 | Vaughn Grissom | Tatsuya Imai | 42 | D Below |
| #107 | Randy Arozarena | Kumar Rocker | 41 | D Below |
| #108 | Francisco Lindor | Martín Pérez | 41 | D Below |
| #119 | Marcus Semien | Martín Pérez | 38 | D Below |
| #122 | Ezequiel Duran | George Kirby | 38 | D Below |
| #153 | Alex Bregman | Matthew Liberatore | 34 | D Below |
| #178 | José Fermín | David Peterson | 28 | D Below |
| #188 | Leody Taveras | Keider Montero | 25 | D Below |
| #195 | Nico Hoerner | Matthew Liberatore | 24 | D Below |
| #196 | Ali Sánchez | Noah Schultz | 24 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Griffin Conine, Jake Burger, Heriberto Hernández, Luis Urías, Coby Mayo, Ozzie Albies, Vaughn Grissom, Randy Arozarena, Francisco Lindor, Marcus Semien, Ezequiel Duran, Alex Bregman, José Fermín, Leody Taveras, Nico Hoerner, Ali Sánchez
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.