17
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
10.3%
Overall HR/FB
3.96
FIP
4.25
xFIP
-0.29
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
28
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 28th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
80.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.2 EV · 393 ft
max EV allowed 112.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Framber Valdez.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
45.7%
86.0
11.2°
4
-0.7
Curveball Breaking
27.9%
82.0
3.1°
4
+0.7
Changeup Offspeed
19.9%
85.6
4.1°
3
+0.0
Slider Breaking
4.5%
75.7
19.2°
0
-0.9
Fastball Hard
2.0%
76.6
18.1°
0
-0.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups153
HRs allowed (pool)17
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day0.94
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB10.3% 28
HR/9—
FIP3.96 46
xFIP4.25
FIP − xFIP-0.29 30
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed80.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 45.7% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle11.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches809
Curveball
Breaking · 27.9% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.0 mph
Avg launch angle3.1°
HRs allowed4
Pitches494
Changeup
Offspeed · 19.9% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches353
Slider
Breaking · 4.5% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.7 mph
Avg launch angle19.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches80
Fastball
Hard · 2.0% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.6 mph
Avg launch angle18.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches36
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Framber Valdez.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
17 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.2 EV · 393 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
9
0
106.5
2026-07-02
8
1
112.0
2026-06-27
9
1
108.7
2026-06-22
7
1
105.8
2026-06-16
6
0
105.0
2026-06-10
8
2
107.6
2026-06-05
7
1
106.4
2026-05-30
9
3
106.8
2026-05-24
9
1
109.4
2026-05-23
9
0
—
2026-05-18
9
1
108.3
2026-05-13
9
0
106.2
2026-05-05
9
3
111.9
2026-04-30
9
0
107.4
2026-04-24
9
2
112.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Framber Valdez isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.