2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Framber Valdez

Framber Valdez

LHP DET
153 matchups scored · 18 game days
17
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
10.3%
Overall HR/FB
3.96
FIP
4.25
xFIP
-0.29
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 28
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
28
no model flags today
Vulnerability 28th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
80.0%
80.0%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.2 EV · 393 ft max EV allowed 112.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-18 · 1 HR 2026-05-24 · 1 HR 2026-05-30 · 3 HR 2026-06-05 · 1 HR 2026-06-10 · 2 HR 2026-06-22 · 1 HR 2026-06-27 · 1 HR 2026-07-02 · 1 HR
7D · 0 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Framber Valdez.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard 45.7% 86.0 11.2° 4 -0.7
Curveball Breaking 27.9% 82.0 3.1° 4 +0.7
Changeup Offspeed 19.9% 85.6 4.1° 3 +0.0
Slider Breaking 4.5% 75.7 19.2° 0 -0.9
Fastball Hard 2.0% 76.6 18.1° 0 -0.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups153
HRs allowed (pool)17
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day0.94
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB10.3% 28
HR/9
FIP3.96 46
xFIP4.25
FIP − xFIP-0.29 30
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed80.0%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 45.7% usage
-0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle11.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches809
Curveball
Breaking · 27.9% usage
+0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.0 mph
Avg launch angle3.1°
HRs allowed4
Pitches494
Changeup
Offspeed · 19.9% usage
+0.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches353
Slider
Breaking · 4.5% usage
-0.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.7 mph
Avg launch angle19.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches80
Fastball
Hard · 2.0% usage
-0.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.6 mph
Avg launch angle18.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches36
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Framber Valdez.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
17 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.2 EV · 393 ft 5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-02 Elias Díaz #78 43 Globe Life Field 102.3 28.0° 414
2026-06-27 Cam Smith #139 39 Comerica Park 108.7 20.0° 380
2026-06-22 Amed Rosario #107 46 Comerica Park 103.2 24.0° 373
2026-06-10 Byron Buxton #14 72 Comerica Park 107.0 22.0° 413
2026-06-10 Royce Lewis #196 27 Comerica Park 107.6 32.0° 444
2026-06-05 Colt Emerson #101 46 Comerica Park 94.1 35.0° 351
2026-05-30 Colson Montgomery #84 54 Rate Field 106.8 41.0° 372
2026-05-30 Andrew Benintendi #209 34 Rate Field 100.6 30.0° 368
2026-05-30 Edgar Quero #229 29 Rate Field 97.7 31.0° 371
2026-05-24 Gunnar Henderson #58 57 Camden Yards 100.8 38.0° 368.0
2026-05-18 José Ramírez #180 36 Comerica Park 102.8 25.0° 410.0
2026-05-05 Willson Contreras #76 38 Comerica Park 111.9 32.0° 449.0
2026-05-05 Wilyer Abreu #255 7 Comerica Park 109.1 23.0° 396.0
2026-05-05 Ceddanne Rafaela #256 6 Comerica Park 98.0 30.0° 362.0
2026-04-24 Nathaniel Lowe #31 72 Great American Ball Park 104.6 36.0° 396.0
2026-04-24 Matt McLain #97 56 Great American Ball Park 106.3 26.0° 419.0
2026-04-19 Willson Contreras #157 39 Fenway Park 109.4 32.0° 394.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09 Comerica Park 9 0 106.5
2026-07-02 Globe Life Field 8 1 112.0
2026-06-27 Comerica Park 9 1 108.7
2026-06-22 Comerica Park 7 1 105.8
2026-06-16 Minute Maid Park 6 0 105.0
2026-06-10 Comerica Park 8 2 107.6
2026-06-05 Comerica Park 7 1 106.4
2026-05-30 Rate Field 9 3 106.8
2026-05-24 Camden Yards 9 1 109.4
2026-05-23 Camden Yards 9 0
2026-05-18 Comerica Park 9 1 108.3
2026-05-13 Citi Field 9 0 106.2
2026-05-05 Comerica Park 9 3 111.9
2026-04-30 Truist Park 9 0 107.4
2026-04-24 Great American Ball Park 9 2 112.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Framber Valdez isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Framber Valdez's full pitcher profile is waiting

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153 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.92 · build 597

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