2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 6 HRs · 2 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 5 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 6 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Stowers 3 HRs · 12 Esmerlyn Valdez 3 HRs 1 James Wood 6 HRs · 2 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 5 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 6 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Stowers 3 HRs · 12 Esmerlyn Valdez 3 HRs
Rhett Lowder

Rhett Lowder

RHP CIN
112 matchups scored · 13 game days
10
HRs allowed
8.9%
HR rate (pool)
7.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.63
FIP
4.56
xFIP
-0.92
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 11
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
11
no model flags today
Vulnerability 11th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.4%
72.4%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 105.8 EV · 408 ft max EV allowed 112.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-26 · 2 HR 2026-06-07 · 1 HR 2026-06-13 · 1 HR 2026-06-19 · 1 HR 2026-06-24 · 2 HR 2026-06-30 · 2 HR
7D · 4 HR ↑ 15D · 5 HR ↑ 30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Rhett Lowder.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard 30.2% 86.4 20.5° 2 -0.7
Slider Breaking 26.9% 85.1 7.6° 4 +2.0
Fastball Hard 22.3% 84.1 31.7° 1 -0.3
Changeup Offspeed 20.4% 84.8 12.1° 2 +1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups112
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate8.9%
Pool HR/game day0.77
Top-15 matchups9
HRs to top-153
Overall HR/FB7.9% 11
HR/9
FIP3.63 33
xFIP4.56
FIP − xFIP-0.92 6
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.4%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Sinker
Hard · 30.2% usage
-0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.4 mph
Avg launch angle20.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches377
Slider
Breaking · 26.9% usage
+2.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.1 mph
Avg launch angle7.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches336
Fastball
Hard · 22.3% usage
-0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle31.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches279
Changeup
Offspeed · 20.4% usage
+1.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle12.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches255
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Rhett Lowder.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.8 EV · 408 ft 7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-30 Jake Bauers #16 64 American Family Field 106.1 29.0° 425
2026-06-30 Jackson Chourio #26 62 American Family Field 107.8 21.0° 404
2026-06-24 Jake Bauers #14 67 Great American Ball Park 109.8 26.0° 428
2026-06-24 William Contreras #123 45 Great American Ball Park 103.6 26.0° 399
2026-06-19 Ben Rice #6 76 Yankee Stadium 109.1 26.0° 433
2026-06-13 Corbin Carroll #11 75 Great American Ball Park 111.8 23.0° 433
2026-06-07 Bryan Torres #216 23 Busch Stadium 101.4 26.0° 368
2026-04-26 Spencer Torkelson #22 69 Great American Ball Park 107.3 30.0° 421.0
2026-04-26 Gleyber Torres #153 40 Great American Ball Park 103.1 26.0° 388.0
2026-03-29 Wilyer Abreu #16 52 Great American Ball Park 98.0 29.0° 385.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 13 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-30 American Family Field 9 2 110.5
2026-06-24 Great American Ball Park 8 2 109.8
2026-06-19 Yankee Stadium 7 1 109.1
2026-06-13 Great American Ball Park 9 1 111.8
2026-06-07 Busch Stadium 7 1 109.8
2026-05-07 Wrigley Field 9 0 103.0
2026-05-02 PNC Park 9 0 106.0
2026-04-26 Great American Ball Park 9 2 107.3
2026-04-20 Tropicana Field 9 0 112.6
2026-04-15 Great American Ball Park 9 0 103.1
2026-04-09 loanDepot Park 9 0 112.8
2026-04-04 Globe Life Field 9 0 107.4
2026-03-29 Great American Ball Park 9 1 110.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Rhett Lowder isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Rhett Lowder's full pitcher profile is waiting

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112 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.96 · build 601

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