2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar RHP MIA
33 matchups scored · 4 game days
1 HRs Allowed
3.0% HR Rate (Pool)
16.3% Overall HR/FB
3.94 FIP
3.75 xFIP
+0.19 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.25
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
16.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
80th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.6%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.94
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
47th pctile
3.75
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.19
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
59th pctile
3.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
33
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
3.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 1 6.2% 0.5 96.8mph 107.7mph 34.0° 413ft Up +3.2pp
Last 15 24 3 1 4.2% 0.33 92.9mph 107.7mph 34.0° 413ft Flat +1.2pp
Last 30 33 4 1 3.0% 0.25 93.7mph 107.7mph 34.0° 413ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
32 tracked BBE from 33 pool matchups
93.7
110.1
21
0
107.7
34.0°
413
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-19 Rafael Devers 107.7mph 107.7mph 34° 413ft Yes
2026-06-19 Daniel Susac 104.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Jung Hoo Lee 104.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Casey Schmitt 102.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Bryan Reynolds 110.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Yandy Díaz 104.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Nick Fortes 103.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Richie Palacios 100.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
4 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-19 Rafael Devers #107 47 loanDepot Park 107.7mph 34.0° 413ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 228 32.4% +0.2 84.7 38.3° 3
Slider 174 24.7% -3.0 83.1 5.5° 2
Sweeper 127 18.0% -1.6 86.0 9.4° 0
Curveball 87 12.4% -1.3 87.3 0.3° 0
Splitter 73 10.4% -0.8 70.5 9.5° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.6%
65.6%
All Scored Matchups
33 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-19 Daniel Susac #214 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Jung Hoo Lee #188 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Drew Gilbert #183 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Rafael Devers #107 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-19 Casey Schmitt #92 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Matt Chapman #79 51 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-19 Willy Adames #72 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Bryce Eldridge #38 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Jared Triolo #231 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Jake Mangum #211 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Nick Gonzales #191 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Bryan Reynolds #155 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Ryan O'Hearn #129 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Endy Rodríguez #126 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Spencer Horwitz #83 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Brandon Lowe #54 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Nick Fortes #230 15 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-06 Richie Palacios #226 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-06 Taylor Walls #225 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Ben Williamson #224 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Cedric Mullins #139 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Yandy Díaz #51 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Junior Caminero #50 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Jonathan Aranda #27 65 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-02 Drew Millas #185 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Dylan Crews #143 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Jorbit Vivas #131 42 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-02 Luis García Jr. #126 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Daylen Lile #105 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Jacob Young #46 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-02 CJ Abrams #30 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Curtis Mead #18 69 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 James Wood #6 77 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
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