9
HRs allowed
7.0%
HR rate (pool)
14.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.32
FIP
4.74
xFIP
-0.42
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
68
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 68th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
79.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.1 EV · 399 ft
max EV allowed 110.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 2 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Young.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
41.4%
83.5
32.9°
5
-1.6
Splitter Offspeed
20.0%
84.3
11.6°
1
+1.4
Slider Breaking
14.5%
82.7
12.4°
2
+0.4
Sinker Hard
12.7%
80.5
11.7°
1
+0.9
Curveball Breaking
11.4%
83.5
7.0°
0
-0.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups129
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate7.0%
Pool HR/game day0.6
Top-15 matchups14
HRs to top-153
Overall HR/FB14.7% 68
HR/9—
FIP4.32 61
xFIP4.74
FIP − xFIP-0.42 23
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed79.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 41.4% usage
-1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle32.9°
HRs allowed5
Pitches551
Splitter
Offspeed · 20.0% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle11.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches267
Slider
Breaking · 14.5% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.7 mph
Avg launch angle12.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches193
Sinker
Hard · 12.7% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.5 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches169
Curveball
Breaking · 11.4% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle7.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches152
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Young.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.1 EV · 399 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
8
2
106.1
2026-07-04
9
0
108.9
2026-06-27
8
0
109.0
2026-06-21
8
0
104.8
2026-06-16
8
0
101.8
2026-06-10
8
0
104.6
2026-06-05
8
1
110.3
2026-05-30
9
0
107.6
2026-05-24
9
1
110.8
2026-05-23
9
0
—
2026-05-17
9
1
110.6
2026-05-11
9
1
106.7
2026-05-06
9
0
106.8
2026-04-30
9
2
109.6
2026-04-24
9
1
110.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Brandon Young isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.