24
HRs allowed
14.0%
HR rate (pool)
21.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.54
FIP
2.99
xFIP
+0.55
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
90
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 90th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
70.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.2 EV · 399 ft
max EV allowed 113.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Drew Rasmussen.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
31.3%
81.7
13.6°
4
-1.0
Fastball Hard
26.8%
82.3
28.6°
6
+0.3
Sinker Hard
22.0%
81.5
14.8°
2
-2.5
Changeup Offspeed
12.2%
80.2
-5.8°
0
-1.8
Curveball Breaking
4.6%
85.2
16.4°
0
-2.9
Sweeper Breaking
3.0%
87.7
21.1°
0
+1.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups172
HRs allowed (pool)24
Pool HR rate14.0%
Pool HR/game day1.2
Top-15 matchups11
HRs to top-155
Overall HR/FB21.2% 90
HR/9—
FIP3.54 31
xFIP2.99
FIP − xFIP+0.55 75
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed70.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Cutter
Hard · 31.3% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.7 mph
Avg launch angle13.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches484
Fastball
Hard · 26.8% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle28.6°
HRs allowed6
Pitches414
Sinker
Hard · 22.0% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle14.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches339
Changeup
Offspeed · 12.2% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.2 mph
Avg launch angle-5.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches189
Curveball
Breaking · 4.6% usage
-2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle16.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches71
Sweeper
Breaking · 3.0% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.7 mph
Avg launch angle21.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches47
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Drew Rasmussen.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
24 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.2 EV · 399 ft
8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
8
2
105.3
2026-07-04
8
2
108.3
2026-06-28
8
1
106.3
2026-06-22
8
0
109.2
2026-06-16
7
1
106.9
2026-06-10
9
2
107.7
2026-06-05
9
0
105.1
2026-05-30
9
4
113.2
2026-05-24
9
1
106.6
2026-05-23
9
0
—
2026-05-17
9
0
107.9
2026-05-11
9
1
105.8
2026-05-05
9
1
107.9
2026-04-29
9
0
105.1
2026-04-24
9
2
111.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Drew Rasmussen isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.