MLB Home Run Predictions — April 16, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-16: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 16, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
16
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
43.2 vs 37.6
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #12 | Ben Rice | Brent Suter | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #14 | Mike Trout | Max Fried | 69 | C+ Value |
| #15 | Aaron Judge | Brent Suter | 69 | C+ Value |
| #39 | Hunter Goodman | Ryan Weiss | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #44 | José Ramírez | Shane Baz | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #49 | Dillon Dingler | Kris Bubic | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #59 | Josh Jung | Jacob Lopez | 49 | D Below |
| #65 | Giancarlo Stanton | Brent Suter | 46 | D Below |
| #66 | Junior Caminero | Jordan Leasure | 46 | D Below |
| #86 | Oswald Peraza | Max Fried | 40 | D Below |
| #94 | Miguel Vargas | Steven Matz | 37 | D Below |
| #96 | Jo Adell | Max Fried | 36 | D Below |
| #108 | Salvador Perez | Keider Montero | 33 | D Below |
| #147 | Vinnie Pasquantino | Keider Montero | 19 | D Below |
| #154 | Marcell Ozuna | Foster Griffin | 11 | D Below |
| #173 | Everson Pereira | Steven Matz | 0 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Josh Jung, Giancarlo Stanton, Junior Caminero, Oswald Peraza, Miguel Vargas, Jo Adell, Salvador Perez, Vinnie Pasquantino, Marcell Ozuna, Everson Pereira
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.