17
HRs allowed
12.7%
HR rate (pool)
18.5%
Overall HR/FB
4.42
FIP
3.9
xFIP
+0.52
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
85
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 85th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
70.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.4 EV · 402 ft
max EV allowed 119.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 6 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Foster Griffin.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
31.7%
80.1
25.0°
7
-2.2
Fastball Hard
17.0%
83.8
27.0°
4
+0.7
Sweeper Breaking
14.7%
80.8
15.4°
2
-0.6
Changeup Offspeed
10.6%
82.4
-0.3°
0
-0.8
Curveball Breaking
10.3%
83.8
1.1°
3
+2.2
Sinker Hard
10.0%
77.3
12.5°
1
-1.2
Splitter Offspeed
5.7%
79.4
18.5°
0
+1.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups134
HRs allowed (pool)17
Pool HR rate12.7%
Pool HR/game day1.06
Top-15 matchups9
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB18.5% 85
HR/9—
FIP4.42 64
xFIP3.9
FIP − xFIP+0.52 74
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed70.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Cutter
Hard · 31.7% usage
-2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.1 mph
Avg launch angle25.0°
HRs allowed7
Pitches580
Fastball
Hard · 17.0% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle27.0°
HRs allowed4
Pitches310
Sweeper
Breaking · 14.7% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle15.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches268
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.6% usage
-0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle-0.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches193
Curveball
Breaking · 10.3% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle1.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches189
Sinker
Hard · 10.0% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.3 mph
Avg launch angle12.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches182
Splitter
Offspeed · 5.7% usage
+1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.4 mph
Avg launch angle18.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches105
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Foster Griffin.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
17 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.4 EV · 402 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
9
0
102.1
2026-07-03
9
1
112.7
2026-06-27
8
0
111.3
2026-06-22
9
1
108.8
2026-06-16
4
1
108.2
2026-06-10
6
3
107.9
2026-06-05
8
0
108.2
2026-05-30
9
3
114.0
2026-05-24
9
0
111.9
2026-05-19
9
2
114.9
2026-05-14
9
3
113.4
2026-05-08
9
1
110.2
2026-05-02
9
0
106.7
2026-04-26
9
0
103.0
2026-04-21
9
1
108.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Foster Griffin isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.