MLB Home Run Predictions — April 18, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-18: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 18, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
27
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
51.5 vs 43.4
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | Ben Rice | Noah Cameron | 86 | A Excellent |
| #11 | Yordan Alvarez | Andre Pallante | 81 | A Excellent |
| #15 | James Wood | Adrian Houser | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #16 | Ian Happ | Freddy Peralta | 74 | B AboveAvg |
| #19 | Carter Jensen | Will Warren | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #32 | Nick Kurtz | Erick Fedde | 69 | C+ Value |
| #41 | Gunnar Henderson | Gavin Williams | 65 | C+ Value |
| #47 | Andrew Benintendi | Luis Severino | 63 | C+ Value |
| #56 | Colson Montgomery | Luis Severino | 62 | C+ Value |
| #69 | Luke Raley | Nathan Eovaldi | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #73 | Alec Burleson | Lance McCullers Jr. | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #78 | Bo Naylor | Dean Kremer | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #82 | Carson Kelly | Freddy Peralta | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #102 | Brice Turang | Sandy Alcantara | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #108 | Kyle Tucker | Ryan Feltner | 49 | D Below |
| #119 | Cody Bellinger | Noah Cameron | 47 | D Below |
| #123 | Kerry Carpenter | Brayan Bello | 46 | D Below |
| #127 | Corbin Carroll | Max Scherzer | 46 | D Below |
| #153 | Brayan Rocchio | Dean Kremer | 40 | D Below |
| #154 | Masyn Winn | Lance McCullers Jr. | 40 | D Below |
| #165 | Heliot Ramos | Cade Cavalli | 37 | D Below |
| #166 | Jacob Wilson | Erick Fedde | 37 | D Below |
| #177 | Mark Vientos | Jameson Taillon | 35 | D Below |
| #180 | Ryan O'Hearn | Drew Rasmussen | 35 | D Below |
| #226 | Josh Jung | George Kirby | 24 | D Below |
| #243 | Marcell Ozuna | Drew Rasmussen | 19 | D Below |
| #263 | Cedric Mullins | Paul Skenes | 11 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Colson Montgomery, Luke Raley, Alec Burleson, Bo Naylor, Carson Kelly, Brice Turang, Kyle Tucker, Cody Bellinger, Kerry Carpenter, Corbin Carroll, Brayan Rocchio, Masyn Winn, Heliot Ramos, Jacob Wilson, Mark Vientos, Ryan O'Hearn, Josh Jung, Marcell Ozuna, Cedric Mullins
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.