14
HRs allowed
9.2%
HR rate (pool)
18.6%
Overall HR/FB
3.75
FIP
3.33
xFIP
+0.42
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
85
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 85th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.1 EV · 401 ft
max EV allowed 113.1
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 1 HR
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Emerson Hancock.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
38.4%
83.3
30.1°
7
-2.2
Sinker Hard
23.6%
86.9
2.3°
2
-1.8
Sweeper Breaking
18.3%
75.1
19.9°
0
-0.2
Cutter Hard
11.8%
83.0
16.6°
2
-0.9
Changeup Offspeed
5.3%
80.4
14.6°
1
+3.3
Curveball Breaking
2.6%
73.5
22.4°
0
-0.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups152
HRs allowed (pool)14
Pool HR rate9.2%
Pool HR/game day0.78
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB18.6% 85
HR/9—
FIP3.75 37
xFIP3.33
FIP − xFIP+0.42 71
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 38.4% usage
-2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle30.1°
HRs allowed7
Pitches589
Sinker
Hard · 23.6% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.9 mph
Avg launch angle2.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches361
Sweeper
Breaking · 18.3% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.1 mph
Avg launch angle19.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches280
Cutter
Hard · 11.8% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle16.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches181
Changeup
Offspeed · 5.3% usage
+3.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.4 mph
Avg launch angle14.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches81
Curveball
Breaking · 2.6% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against73.5 mph
Avg launch angle22.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches40
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Emerson Hancock.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
14 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.1 EV · 401 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
8
1
110.2
2026-07-05
6
0
100.4
2026-06-28
7
0
106.5
2026-06-20
7
1
106.4
2026-06-14
8
2
109.4
2026-06-08
8
0
108.5
2026-06-01
9
1
106.8
2026-05-26
9
1
110.5
2026-05-20
9
0
105.8
2026-05-15
9
0
106.3
2026-05-08
9
1
106.2
2026-05-02
9
0
108.6
2026-04-26
9
1
110.1
2026-04-20
9
3
109.9
2026-04-15
9
1
106.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Emerson Hancock isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.