28
HRs allowed
13.5%
HR rate (pool)
17.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.76
FIP
3.46
xFIP
+0.30
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
80
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 80th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
19.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.1 EV · 396 ft
max EV allowed 113.1
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 8 HR ↑
30D · 11 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Emerson Hancock.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
39.5%
83.6
28.7°
9
-1.8
Sinker Hard
23.4%
86.3
2.8°
3
-1.0
Sweeper Breaking
16.1%
76.6
21.5°
2
+0.8
Cutter Hard
11.6%
83.1
20.3°
3
-0.7
Changeup Offspeed
4.9%
81.2
15.9°
3
+6.2
Curveball Breaking
4.5%
75.7
13.7°
0
+2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups208
HRs allowed (pool)28
Pool HR rate13.5%
Pool HR/game day1.12
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB17.7% 80
HR/9—
FIP3.76 37
xFIP3.46
FIP − xFIP+0.30 66
Barrel% allowed19.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Fastball
Hard · 39.5% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle28.7°
HRs allowed9
Pitches853
Sinker
Hard · 23.4% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle2.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches506
Sweeper
Breaking · 16.1% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.6 mph
Avg launch angle21.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches349
Cutter
Hard · 11.6% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle20.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches251
Changeup
Offspeed · 4.9% usage
+6.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle15.9°
HRs allowed3
Pitches106
Curveball
Breaking · 4.5% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.7 mph
Avg launch angle13.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches97
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Emerson Hancock.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
28 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.1 EV · 396 ft
11 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-28
8
3
106.8
2026-08-21
7
3
108.9
2026-08-15
9
2
105.1
2026-08-09
8
0
110.0
2026-08-04
7
3
107.3
2026-07-29
8
1
111.2
2026-07-22
9
2
104.9
2026-07-12
8
1
110.2
2026-07-05
6
0
100.4
2026-06-28
7
0
106.5
2026-06-20
7
1
106.4
2026-06-14
8
2
109.4
2026-06-08
8
0
108.5
2026-06-01
9
1
106.8
2026-05-26
9
1
110.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Emerson Hancock isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Emerson Hancock isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
107
14
13%
8
3
38%
9
2
22%
8
2
25%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 13. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Emerson Hancock
How many home runs has Emerson Hancock allowed this season?
Emerson Hancock has allowed 28 home runs across 25 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Emerson Hancock?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Emerson Hancock include Ian Happ (2), Isaac Paredes (2), Pete Crow-Armstrong (2) and 37 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.