9
HRs allowed
10.2%
HR rate (pool)
14.5%
Overall HR/FB
4.33
FIP
4.59
xFIP
-0.25
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
67
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 67th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
66.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.2 EV · 400 ft
max EV allowed 110.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Noah Schultz.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
24.5%
82.7
19.2°
2
+0.5
Fastball Hard
23.6%
84.1
27.4°
1
-0.2
Sweeper Breaking
21.8%
86.3
20.7°
4
+2.6
Cutter Hard
20.0%
80.9
25.7°
1
+0.0
Changeup Offspeed
10.1%
73.8
2.5°
0
+4.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups88
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate10.2%
Pool HR/game day0.9
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB14.5% 67
HR/9—
FIP4.33 61
xFIP4.59
FIP − xFIP-0.25 33
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed66.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 24.5% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.7 mph
Avg launch angle19.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches222
Fastball
Hard · 23.6% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle27.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches214
Sweeper
Breaking · 21.8% usage
+2.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle20.7°
HRs allowed4
Pitches197
Cutter
Hard · 20.0% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle25.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches181
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.1% usage
+4.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against73.8 mph
Avg launch angle2.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches91
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Noah Schultz.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.2 EV · 400 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
8
1
110.7
2026-07-07
8
2
106.2
2026-07-01
9
2
109.5
2026-05-24
9
2
109.2
2026-05-18
9
1
110.0
2026-05-13
9
1
110.9
2026-05-06
9
0
102.3
2026-05-01
9
0
108.1
2026-04-25
9
0
105.3
2026-04-19
9
0
103.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Noah Schultz isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.