2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Chase Meidroth 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Royce Lewis 3 HRs · 12 Randy Arozarena 3 HRs 1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Chase Meidroth 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Royce Lewis 3 HRs · 12 Randy Arozarena 3 HRs
AB

AZ Bullpen Proxy

AZ
47 matchups scored · 6 game days
8
HRs allowed
17.0%
HR rate (pool)
13.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.57
FIP
4.57
xFIP
+0.00
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 57
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
57
no model flags today
Vulnerability 57th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
81.4%
81.4%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 106.2 EV · 405 ft max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-06-24 · 1 HR 2026-06-27 · 2 HR 2026-06-30 · 2 HR 2026-07-12 · 1 HR 2026-07-21 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR ↑ 15D · 3 HR ↑ 30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against AZ Bullpen Proxy.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups47
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate17.0%
Pool HR/game day1.33
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB13.6% 57
HR/9
FIP4.57 69
xFIP4.57
FIP − xFIP+0.00 46
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed81.4%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against AZ Bullpen Proxy.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 106.2 EV · 405 ft 8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-21 Shea Langeliers #26 61 Chase Field 110.7 25.0° 444
2026-07-21 Jacob Wilson #237 28 Chase Field 102.8 24.0° 394
2026-07-12 Shohei Ohtani #1 78 Dodger Stadium 111.8 33.0° 437
2026-06-30 Rafael Devers #56 55 Chase Field 111.3 24.0° 424
2026-06-30 Luis Arráez #226 28 Chase Field 104.4 34.0° 399
2026-06-27 Junior Caminero #8 68 Tropicana Field 106.9 44.0° 361
2026-06-27 Jonathan Aranda #75 50 Tropicana Field 101.7 37.0° 391
2026-06-24 José Fermín #248 17 Busch Stadium 99.8 28.0° 387
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-21 Chase Field 7 2 110.7
2026-07-12 Dodger Stadium 8 1 111.8
2026-06-30 Chase Field 8 2 111.3
2026-06-27 Tropicana Field 8 2 110.6
2026-06-24 Busch Stadium 8 1 107.1
2026-06-21 Chase Field 8 0 107.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — AZ Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
AZ Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Chase Field 23 4 17%
Tropicana Field 8 2 25%
Busch Stadium 8 1 12%
Dodger Stadium 8 1 12%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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