2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Cody Bellinger 6 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Nolan Arenado 6 HRs · 4 Elly De La Cruz 5 HRs · 5 Isaac Paredes 5 HRs · 6 Kyle Tucker 5 HRs · 7 William Contreras 4 HRs · 8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 9 Travis Bazzana 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Max Muncy 4 HRs · 12 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs 1 Cody Bellinger 6 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Nolan Arenado 6 HRs · 4 Elly De La Cruz 5 HRs · 5 Isaac Paredes 5 HRs · 6 Kyle Tucker 5 HRs · 7 William Contreras 4 HRs · 8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 9 Travis Bazzana 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Max Muncy 4 HRs · 12 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs
AB

AZ Bullpen Proxy

AZ
69 matchups scored · 9 game days
10
HRs allowed
14.5%
HR rate (pool)
13.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.49
FIP
4.49
xFIP
+0.00
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 50
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
50
no model flags today
Vulnerability 50th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
24.6%
24.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed
78.5%
78.5%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 105.0 EV · 402 ft max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-06-24 · 1 HR 2026-06-27 · 2 HR 2026-06-30 · 2 HR 2026-07-12 · 1 HR 2026-07-21 · 2 HR 2026-09-14 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against AZ Bullpen Proxy.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups69
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate14.5%
Pool HR/game day1.11
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB13.0% 50
HR/9
FIP4.49 68
xFIP4.49
FIP − xFIP+0.00 47
Barrel% allowed24.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed78.5%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-23
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against AZ Bullpen Proxy.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 402 ft 2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-09-14 Javier Sanoja #159 31 Chase Field 103.9 23.0° 397
2026-09-14 Jakob Marsee #160 29 Chase Field 96.3 30.0° 390
2026-07-21 Shea Langeliers #26 61 Chase Field 110.7 25.0° 444
2026-07-21 Jacob Wilson #237 28 Chase Field 102.8 24.0° 394
2026-07-12 Shohei Ohtani #1 78 Dodger Stadium 111.8 33.0° 437
2026-06-30 Rafael Devers #56 55 Chase Field 111.3 24.0° 424
2026-06-30 Luis Arráez #226 28 Chase Field 104.4 34.0° 399
2026-06-27 Junior Caminero #8 68 Tropicana Field 106.9 44.0° 361
2026-06-27 Jonathan Aranda #75 50 Tropicana Field 101.7 37.0° 391
2026-06-24 José Fermín #248 17 Busch Stadium 99.8 28.0° 387
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-14 Chase Field 6 2 105.3
2026-09-08 Kauffman Stadium 8 0 106.7
2026-09-07 Kauffman Stadium 8 0 107.4
2026-07-21 Chase Field 7 2 110.7
2026-07-12 Dodger Stadium 8 1 111.8
2026-06-30 Chase Field 8 2 111.3
2026-06-27 Tropicana Field 8 2 110.6
2026-06-24 Busch Stadium 8 1 107.1
2026-06-21 Chase Field 8 0 107.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — AZ Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
AZ Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Chase Field 29 6 21%
Tropicana Field 8 2 25%
Busch Stadium 8 1 12%
Dodger Stadium 8 1 12%
Kauffman Stadium 16 0 0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about AZ Bullpen Proxy

How many home runs has AZ Bullpen Proxy allowed this season?

AZ Bullpen Proxy has allowed 10 home runs across 9 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off AZ Bullpen Proxy?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against AZ Bullpen Proxy include Jacob Wilson (1), Jakob Marsee (1), Javier Sanoja (1) and 7 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.177 · build 679

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