Today · 2026-07-11

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#5 Kody Clemens vs Ryan Johnson FIP 5.69 HR/FB 21.1% #9 Kyle Stowers vs Tanner Bibee FIP 5.05 HR/FB 28.3% #11 Matt Olson vs Matthew Liberatore FIP 5.0 HR/FB 31.6%

📦 STACK Brandon Pfaadt FIP 4.99 HR/FB 38.9% → #2 Shohei Ohtani, #6 Max Muncy, #12 Freddie Freeman

📦 STACK Tanner Bibee FIP 5.05 HR/FB 28.3% → #9 Kyle Stowers, #15 Heriberto Hernández

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-10. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Shohei Ohtani (L) ³	74	-13.6	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffEduardo Rodriguez Exit Velo104.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance381 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●●○●	0.0×	2	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.30 FIP4.56 IP829.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.6°F Wind2.4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note66°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
2	Ben Rice (L) ⁶	73	-8.5	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffCarson Palmquist Exit Velo102.0 mph Angle29.0° Distance387 ft StadiumNationals Park	●●○●●	0.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.41 FIP4.69 IP882.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+9 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind3.9 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note71°F, wind 4 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0
3	Junior Caminero (R) ²	69	-13.2	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffJosé A. Ferrer Exit Velo102.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance385 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○○●●	0.0×	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.4% HR/90.90 FIP3.49 IP835.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
4	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	68	-5.0	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffWilliam Kempner Exit Velo106.1 mph Angle32.0° Distance421 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	●○○●○	0.2×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP796.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5	Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	66	-8.1	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffBrendan Beck Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance393 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	1.7×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.40 IP851.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-41 Weather · Target Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.8°F Wind3.3 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note69°F, wind 3 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
6	Max Muncy (L) ³	66	-8.1	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	3.7×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.30 FIP4.56 IP829.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.6°F Wind2.4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note66°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
7	James Wood (L) ²	66	-9.0	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	26	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV95.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffTim Hill Exit Velo105.5 mph Angle27.0° Distance419 ft StadiumNationals Park	○●●○●	0.0×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/90.99 FIP3.75 IP850.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+9 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.5°F Wind3.9 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note71°F, wind 4 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0
8	Juan Soto (L)	68	·	●	BOS Bullpen Proxy BOS @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%15.0% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffBeck Way Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance435 ft StadiumCiti Field	●●○●○	0.3×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.12 FIP3.96 IP818.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-38 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.1°F Wind9.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-38 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1
9	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁴	64	-7.8	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffDean Kremer Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance419 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○●○○	0.7×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.40 FIP5.00 IP823.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind3.7 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 4 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
10	Kyle Stowers (L) ³	63	-10.6	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ MIA · loanDepot Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffGeorge Kirby Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance416 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	●○●○○	0.3×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.19 FIP4.02 IP858.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
11	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	62	-5.0	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffMitch Keller Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle37.0° Distance404 ft StadiumPNC Park	●○○●○	0.3×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.04 FIP4.22 IP825.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Busch Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.4°F Wind2.8 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note71°F, wind 3 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +0
12	Freddie Freeman (L) ³	62	-5.9	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffKyle Hart Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle36.0° Distance388 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○○	1.2×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.30 FIP4.56 IP829.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.6°F Wind2.4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note66°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
13	Mike Trout (R) ²	62	-8.4	●	Joe Ryan (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%15.6% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRobby Ahlstrom Exit Velo110.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance438 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○●○○	0.5×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.30 IP872.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-8 Weather · Target Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.8°F Wind3.3 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note69°F, wind 3 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
14	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	62	-13.6	●	Casey Mize (RHP) PHI @ DET · Comerica Park	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○●●○○	0.7×	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.03 FIP3.90 IP855.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.2°F Wind4.5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note66°F, wind 4 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
15	Pete Alonso (R) ³	61	-8.1	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffColin Rea Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle24.0° Distance411 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○●○○	0.5×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.32 FIP4.72 IP832.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.8°F Wind1.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note71°F, wind 1 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
16	Hunter Goodman (R)	61	-4.9	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) COL @ SF · Oracle Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle45.0° Distance403 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○○	2.7×	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.03 FIP4.27 IP819.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Oracle Park cold air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp53.4°F Wind7 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note53°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -1
17	Sal Stewart (R) ²	60	-9.0	●	Javier Assad (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffTanner Banks Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle32.0° Distance358 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○●○○	0.3×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.85 IP826.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+2 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind3.7 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note74°F, wind 4 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
18	Elly De La Cruz (S) ⁴	60	-8.4	●	Javier Assad (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffShota Imanaga Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle21.0° Distance400 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.85 IP826.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind3.7 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note74°F, wind 4 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
19	Rhys Hoskins (R) ³	59	·	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) CLE @ MIA · loanDepot Park	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	9	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffConnor Prielipp Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance383 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○●●○	0.1×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/90.98 FIP3.98 IP870.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Ketel Marte (S) ²	59	-6.7	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffAdrian Houser Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle36.0° Distance431 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	3.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP809.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.6°F Wind2.4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note66°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
21	Samuel Basallo (L) ⁵	59	-2.8	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffMatt Strahm Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle24.0° Distance373 ft StadiumCamden Yards	●○○○●	0.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.32 FIP4.72 IP832.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.8°F Wind1.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note71°F, wind 1 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
22	Seiya Suzuki (R) ⁴	58	-13.1	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffTrevor Rogers Exit Velo110.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○●●○	0.2×	1	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.40 FIP5.00 IP823.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind3.7 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note74°F, wind 4 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
23	Jordan Walker (R) ³	58	-7.0	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle28.0° Distance406 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	●●○●○	0.3×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.15 FIP4.15 IP824.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Busch Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.4°F Wind2.8 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note71°F, wind 3 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +0
24	Luke Raley (L) ³	58	-5.7	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	30d Last HR · 2026-06-11 OffKyle Bradish Exit Velo92.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance388 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○○	7.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP796.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
25	Ian Happ (S) ³	58	-7.9	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance381 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	2.8×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.40 FIP5.00 IP823.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind3.7 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note74°F, wind 4 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
26	Andy Pages (R) ⁴	58	-6.1	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffEduardo Rodriguez Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle26.0° Distance419 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○●	0.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.30 FIP4.56 IP829.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.6°F Wind2.4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note66°F, wind 2 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
27	Zach Neto (R)	57	-3.4	●	Joe Ryan (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffAroldis Chapman Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance396 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	●○○○○	1.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.30 IP872.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-3 Weather · Target Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.8°F Wind3.3 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note69°F, wind 3 mph S (cross) — modifier: +0
28	Jac Caglianone (L) ²	57	-8.2	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffBrandon Young Exit Velo99.5 mph Angle37.0° Distance368 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○●	0.0×	1	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.16 IP832.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.8°F Wind1.0 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note71°F, wind 1 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
29	Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	56	-2.6	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) MIL @ PIT · PNC Park	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffAndre Pallante Exit Velo110.3 mph Angle22.0° Distance391 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○○○●○	0.2×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.09 IP859.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · PNC Park mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.2°F Wind1.4 mph S Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note70°F, wind 1 mph S (in) — modifier: +0
30	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	56	-8.5	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) TOR @ SD · Petco Park	8:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffJhony Brito Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle44.0° Distance377 ft StadiumPetco Park	○●○●●	0.0×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.17 FIP4.32 IP837.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Petco Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.9°F Wind2.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note66°F, wind 2 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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233 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▲ +0.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.6% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-10

37 HRs

35%

13 caught / 37 HRs

in top 50

#1 James Wood

34.7%

🟡

#2 Shohei Ohtani

31.7%

🔵

#4 Junior Caminero

32.5%

🔵

#6 Yordan Alvarez

23.4%

🔵

#11 Ben Rice

26.4%

🔵

#19 Elly De La Cruz

24.2%

🔵

#26 Kazuma Okamoto

24.3%

🟠

#27 Samuel Basallo

23.2%

🟠

#31 JJ Bleday

19.4%

🟠

#36 Miguel Vargas

22.7%

🟠

#40 Andy Pages

14.0%

🟠

#41 Rafael Devers

25.2%

🟠

#47 Heriberto Hernández

32.6%

🟠

Missed

Jac Caglianone Spencer Torkelson Joc Pederson Tyler Soderstrom Chase DeLauter +19 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Ben Rice ×4 James Wood ×4 Jordan Walker ×3 Junior Caminero ×3 Juan Soto ×3

❄️ Cold

Bryce Harper 0 of 7d Hunter Goodman 0 of 7d Dansby Swanson 0 of 6d Ian Happ 0 of 6d Max Muncy 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.8%

B 19.7%

C+ 16.8%

C 13.5%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-11

You saw the full board yesterday

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.